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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Wed 21 Oct 2026, 8:00 PM ET
New Mexico State Aggies
VS
Sam Houston State Bearkats

New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston State Bearkats Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 36 markets for New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston State Bearkats and backs Sam Houston State Bearkats hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $235.

18
Game markets graded
18
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Sam Houston State Bearkats
to win
Sam Houston State Bearkats Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$23.50Best price+135
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win46.8%
The price says42.2%

The model graded 36 markets for New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston State Bearkats (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $235 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 21 Oct 2026, 8:00 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Sam Houston State Bearkats Lean47% chance +135
Spread Members only Lean48% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean50% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean49% chance Members
Receptions × 4 props Highup to 92% Members
Passing TDs × 1 prop Highup to 94% Members
Completions × 1 prop Highup to 81% Members
Rushing Yards × 3 props Highup to 71% Members
Receiving Yards × 8 props Highup to 70% Members
Passing Yards × 1 prop Leanup to 52% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New Mexico State Aggies and Sam Houston State Bearkats last met on Wed 21 Oct 2026: New Mexico State Aggies won 30-24. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Sam Houston State Bearkats
+ 17 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Sam Houston State BearkatsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sam Houston State BearkatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sam Houston State BearkatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Mexico State AggiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Mexico State AggiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Mexico State AggiesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Mexico State AggiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New Mexico State Aggies

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Sam Houston State Bearkats

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston State Bearkats: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Grady O'Neill Sam Houston Receptions
Tim Burns Jr. Sam Houston Receptions
Chris Reed Sam Houston Receptions
Landyn Locke Sam Houston Passing TDs
Myles Libman New Mexico State Receptions

+ 18 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats — what the model found

Our model graded 36 betting markets for New Mexico State Aggies at Sam Houston State Bearkats — 18 on the game itself and 18 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

18
Game markets graded
18
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 36 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 35 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats — model preview

Sam Houston State Bearkats v New Mexico State Aggies, 22 October 2026. Top of the list: Under 47 Total Points. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On Thursday 22 October 2026, Sam Houston State Bearkats play New Mexico State Aggies in college football. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 47 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 47 Total Points (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Thursday 22 October 2026, Sam Houston State Bearkats host New Mexico State Aggies in college football. The bet we are looking at is Under 47 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 47 points between them. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. That price was showing at Bovada. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston State Bearkats in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Aggies vs Bearkats, or as Bearkats vs Aggies. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 21 October 2026. The model has generated 18 game picks and 18 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston State Bearkats: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 21 Oct 2026New Mexico State Aggies beat Sam Houston State Bearkats 30-24 on the road

New Mexico State Aggies: last 5 results

  1. 28 Oct 2026Lostvs Jacksonville State Gamecocks 0-24
  2. 21 Oct 2026Wonat Sam Houston State Bearkats 30-24
  3. 7 Oct 2026Lostat Florida International Panthers 3-22
  4. 1 Oct 2026Wonvs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 34-13
  5. 26 Sep 2026Lostvs New Mexico Lobos 18-42

Sam Houston State Bearkats: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Lostat Jacksonville State Gamecocks 14-47
  2. 27 Oct 2026Lostat Missouri State Bears 3-24
  3. 21 Oct 2026Lostvs New Mexico State Aggies 24-30
  4. 14 Oct 2026Lostvs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 3-16
  5. 8 Oct 2026Lostat Liberty Flames 3-35

Quick answers

Who won the last Sam Houston State Bearkats vs New Mexico State Aggies game? New Mexico State Aggies won their last meeting 30-24 on 21 October 2026.

How have New Mexico State Aggies and Sam Houston State Bearkats done lately? New Mexico State Aggies won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. Sam Houston State Bearkats won 0 and lost 5 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston State Bearkats head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
New Mexico State Aggies 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Thu 22 Oct 2026, New Mexico State Aggies at Sam Houston State Bearkats: New Mexico State Aggies won 30-24.

DateGameScoreWinner
22 Oct 2026New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats24–30New Mexico State Aggies
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