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NCAAF

James Jones

New Mexico State

Value call

James Jones (New Mexico State) has one live pick today: under 99.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
76.4 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.6% · before adjusting for past results 70.9% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -2.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats
Wed 21 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
James Jones
under 99.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Under 99.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for James Jones is Under 99.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:25PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 945 of 1,745 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards70.9%50.6%53.2%2.01+20.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Sam Houston State Bearkats vs New Mexico State Aggies: James Jones Under 99.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Thursday 22 October 2026, Sam Houston State Bearkats host New Mexico State Aggies in college football. The bet we are looking at is James Jones Under 99.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if James Jones finishes with fewer than 99.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Oct 26 New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Receiving Yards 12.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
21 Oct 26 New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Receiving Yards 11.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
21 Oct 26 New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Rushing Yards — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Rushing Yards — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Rushing Yards — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

James Jones (New Mexico State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for James Jones is Under 99.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.9% on this pick. Their next game is New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston State Bearkats on Wednesday 21 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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