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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Thu 8 Oct 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Sam Houston State Bearkats
VS
Liberty Flames

Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Liberty Flames Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 19 markets for Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Liberty Flames and backs Sam Houston State Bearkats hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $650.

8
Game markets graded
11
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Sam Houston State Bearkats
to win
Sam Houston State Bearkats Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$65.00Best price+550
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win9.4%
The price says17.2%

The model graded 19 markets for Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Liberty Flames (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $650 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 8 Oct 2026, 7:00 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Sam Houston State Bearkats Long-shot9% chance +550
Total Points Members only Lean56% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean48% chance Members
Receptions × 2 props Highup to 92% Members
Passing Yards × 2 props Highup to 100% Members
Receiving Yards × 5 props Highup to 95% Members
Rushing Yards × 2 props Highup to 78% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Sam Houston State Bearkats and Liberty Flames last met on Thu 8 Oct 2026: Liberty Flames won 35-3. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Sam Houston State Bearkats
+ 7 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Sam Houston State BearkatsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sam Houston State BearkatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sam Houston State BearkatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Sam Houston State BearkatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Sam Houston State Bearkats

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Liberty Flames

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Liberty Flames: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Makai Jackson Liberty Receptions
Landyn Locke Sam Houston Passing Yards
Grady O'Neill Sam Houston Receiving Yards
Chris Reed Sam Houston Receiving Yards
Alton McCaskill Sam Houston Rushing Yards

+ 11 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Liberty Flames — what the model found

Our model graded 19 betting markets for Sam Houston State Bearkats at Liberty Flames — 8 on the game itself and 11 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

8
Game markets graded
11
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 19 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 18 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Liberty Flames — model preview

Liberty Flames v Sam Houston State Bearkats, 8 October 2026. Top of the list: Sam Houston State Bearkats +13 on the Line. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On Thursday 8 October 2026, Liberty Flames play Sam Houston State Bearkats in college football. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Sam Houston State Bearkats +13 on the Line, priced at -109 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Sam Houston State Bearkats +13 on the Line (-109)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Thursday 8 October 2026, Liberty Flames host Sam Houston State Bearkats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Sam Houston State Bearkats 13 Point Spread. On this line Sam Houston State Bearkats start with 13 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.17 if it lands. That price was showing at BetRivers. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.17 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Liberty Flames in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Bearkats vs Flames, or as Flames vs Bearkats. The most recent game between them was Thursday 8 October 2026. The model has generated 8 game picks and 11 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Liberty Flames: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 8 Oct 2026Liberty Flames beat Sam Houston State Bearkats 35-3 at home

Sam Houston State Bearkats: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Lostat Jacksonville State Gamecocks 14-47
  2. 27 Oct 2026Lostat Missouri State Bears 3-24
  3. 21 Oct 2026Lostvs New Mexico State Aggies 24-30
  4. 14 Oct 2026Lostvs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 3-16
  5. 8 Oct 2026Lostat Liberty Flames 3-35

Liberty Flames: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Wonat New Mexico State Aggies 30-14
  2. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs Florida International Panthers 49-10
  3. 22 Oct 2026Wonat Kennesaw State Owls 34-6
  4. 8 Oct 2026Wonvs Sam Houston State Bearkats 35-3
  5. 2 Oct 2026Wonat Delaware Blue Hens 30-14

Quick answers

Who won the last Liberty Flames vs Sam Houston State Bearkats game? Liberty Flames won their last meeting 35-3 on 8 October 2026.

How have Sam Houston State Bearkats and Liberty Flames done lately? Sam Houston State Bearkats won 0 and lost 5 of the last 5 results we hold. Liberty Flames won 5 and lost 0 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Liberty Flames: the season so far

From every final score this season

Sam Houston State Bearkats are 1-8 this season and Liberty Flames are 8-1. Liberty Flames are 4-0 at home. Sam Houston State Bearkats are 0-5 on the road. Liberty Flames score 33.3 points a game and let in 13.6. Sam Houston State Bearkats score 17.6 and let in 27.6. Liberty Flames games have averaged 47 points in total; Sam Houston State Bearkats games have averaged 45. Sam Houston State Bearkats have lost their last 6 and Liberty Flames have won their last 8.

SeasonSam Houston State BearkatsLiberty Flames
Won-lost1-88-1
At home1-34-0
On the road0-54-1
Points scored a game17.633.3
Points let in a game27.613.6
Points scored at home25.839.8
Points scored away11.028.2
Against winning sides0-40-1
Current runLost 6Won 8
Biggest win59-0 vs Nicholls Colonels49-10 vs Florida International Panthers
Heaviest loss49-14 at Texas Tech Red Raiders20-13 at James Madison Dukes

Teams they have both played

  • Against New Mexico State Aggies: Liberty Flames won 30-14 on the road; Sam Houston State Bearkats lost 24-30 at home.

Quick answers

How are Liberty Flames doing this season? Liberty Flames are 8-1 this season: 4-0 at home and 4-1 on the road.

How many points do Sam Houston State Bearkats score a game? Sam Houston State Bearkats score 17.6 points a game this season and let in 27.6, across 9 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Liberty Flames head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Liberty Flames 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Thu 8 Oct 2026, Sam Houston State Bearkats at Liberty Flames: Liberty Flames won 35-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
8 Oct 2026Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Liberty Flames35–3Liberty Flames
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