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NCAAF

Josiah Thomas

New Mexico State

Value call

Josiah Thomas (New Mexico State) has one live pick today: under 29.5 receiving yards that pays $185 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
27.9 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.3% · before adjusting for past results 51.7% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap -2.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ New Mexico State Aggies
Wed 28 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Josiah Thomas
under 29.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 29.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.47 Odds-118
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josiah Thomas is Under 29.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:03PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: +$2,107 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards51.7%51.3%54.1%2.01+1.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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New Mexico State Aggies vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks: Josiah Thomas Under 29.5 Receiving Yards (-118)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Thursday 29 October 2026, New Mexico State Aggies host Jacksonville State Gamecocks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Josiah Thomas Under 29.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Josiah Thomas finishes with fewer than 29.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.47 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Oct 26 New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Receiving Yards 38.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
01 Oct 26 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ New Mexico State Aggies Receiving Yards 28.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Josiah Thomas (New Mexico State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josiah Thomas is Under 29.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.2% on this pick. Their next game is Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs New Mexico State Aggies on Wednesday 28 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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