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Model picks & player props
New York Knicks
VS
Orlando Magic

New York Knicks vs Orlando Magic Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 1:07PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
6
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: New York Knicks -4.5 (Point Spread)
For New York Knicks vs Orlando Magic (NBA), model win probability 77.6%, fair odds 1.29, book price -118, model edge +23.6%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
New York Knicks
-4.5
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New York KnicksPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York KnicksMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Knicks

  • Mohamed Diawara FDay-to-day
  • Jalen Brunson GDay-to-day

Orlando Magic

  • Colin Castleton CDay-to-day
  • Noah Penda FDay-to-day
  • Alex Morales GDay-to-day
  • Jase Richardson GDay-to-day
  • Izaiyah Nelson FDay-to-day
  • Jonathan Isaac FDay-to-day
  • Franz Wagner FDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 18, 8:49PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Knicks vs Orlando Magic: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsNew York Knicks @ Orlando MagicNo line posted

Orlando Magic and New York Knicks combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadOrlando Magic spreadNo line posted

Orlando Magic (season record) meet New York Knicks; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineOrlando Magic to winNo line posted

Orlando Magic (season record) host or visit New York Knicks; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Orlando Magic totalNo line posted

Orlando Magic averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New York Knicks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)New York Knicks totalNo line posted

New York Knicks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Orlando Magic; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

New York Knicks @ Orlando Magic — model preview

<p>Unlock potential winning bets for Orlando Magic playing New York Knicks. Featuring picks like NA props. Analysis includes same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks : Under 248.5 Total Points (-1667)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The 'Under 248.5' bet for the Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks game is backed by the teams' scoring averages. The Magic's last five home games resulted in an average score of 113 points, while the Knicks averaged 119.8 in their last five away games. Thus, the combined average points scored is 232.8. Even if we consider the last five overall matches, the combined average only goes up to 231.2. Both these averages are considerably below the bet's threshold of 248.5 points. Additionally, the model prediction is 216, which is notably lower than the betting point. The implied probability is high at 94.3%, supporting the bet's likelihood. In summary, given the teams' scoring tendencies and model prediction, the total points are likely to fall under 248.5, making it a favorable bet.

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks : Orlando Magic Under 119.5 Team Total Points (-476)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Orlando Magic Under 119.5' is a prudent choice considering their recent performance data. Looking at the Magic's last five games overall, their average team score is 105.8, significantly lower than the outcome point of 119.5. Even accounting for home advantage, their average score only slightly increases to 113. Their scoring is not trending upwards either, with a recent overall home record of 1-4. The model prediction also supports this, projecting Orlando to score around 115 points, still short of the 119.5 mark. These figures suggest that Orlando Magic is unlikely to exceed 119.5 points, making the under bet a statistically sound choice.

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks : New York Knicks win (-200)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on the New York Knicks is a favorable choice due to their superior recent performance compared to the Orlando Magic. The Knicks have a better away record in the last five games (3-2) compared to the Magic's home record (1-4). The Knicks also have a higher team score in both overall and away games, with 125.4 and 119.8 points respectively, outscoring the Magic significantly. Furthermore, the Knicks have a better recent head-to-head record against the Magic, winning 2 out of the last 3 encounters. Even though the model predicts a win for the Magic, the Knicks' recent form and head-to-head record suggest a stronger performance, making the bet a viable choice.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Knicks vs Orlando Magic in the NBA. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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