Nashville Predators vs Ottawa Senators : Nashville Predators +1.5 (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Nashville Predators have been performing better defensively at home compared to the Ottawa Senators' away performance. In their last five home games, the Predators have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game, while the Senators have allowed a higher average of 4.8 goals in their last five away games. Furthermore, the Nashville Predators' model prediction of 0.12, although it seems low, is still above the Ottawa Senators' average goals scored in their last five games. This suggests that the Predators are likely to limit the Senators' scoring opportunities. Although the Predators' recent home record is not impressive (1-4), their past performances against the Senators show a balanced situation (2-3). Therefore, the bet on Nashville Predators -1.5 could be justified by their comparative defensive solidity and the statistical likelihood of limiting the Senators' scoring.

Juuse Saros (Nashville Predators) Over 24.5 Saves (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Juuse Saros to make over 24.5 saves is largely based on his recent performance and the model's prediction. Over his last five games, Saros' average number of saves is 26.2, which is higher than the proposed line of 24.5. Furthermore, he has consistently faced a high number of shots with the average being 28.8 shots against over the same period. The model predicts that Saros will make 26.42 saves in the upcoming game, further supporting the bet. Although Saros' average saves at home games is slightly below the line at 22, considering his overall performance and the model's prediction, the bet for over 24.5 saves seems justified. This suggests that the game against the Ottawa Senators could likely involve a high number of shots on goal, allowing Saros more opportunities to make saves.

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