On Saturday 12 September 2026, Monza play Sassuolo in Serie A. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Sassuolo +0.25 Goal Handicap, priced at -169 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Monza vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo +0.25 Goal Handicap (-169)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Monza prepares to host Sassuolo, recent form paints a compelling picture favoring the visitors. Monza has struggled mightily at home, recording just one point from their last five games and averaging a dismal 0.8 goals scored while conceding 2.8. Their xG stats reflect this impotence, showing a zero average—indicative of a lack of attacking threat. Conversely, Sassuolo’s away performances, while mixed, show they can create scoring opportunities, averaging 1.4 goals per match and generating 13.4 shots. Despite recent challenges, they’ve historically done well against Monza, winning three of their last five encounters. With Sassuolo favored to outperform Monza’s current woes, taking them on a 0.25 handicap seems wise. Expect Sassuolo to capitalize on Monza's defensive frailties and secure at least a draw, if not a victory.
Monza vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo +0 Goal Handicap (-125)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Looking at the upcoming clash between Monza and Sassuolo, Sassuolo presents a compelling case for the handicap bet. Monza has struggled at home, with a dismal record of 0-1-4 in their last five matches, while they’ve been averaging just 0.8 goals scored and a staggering 2.8 goals conceded per game. This defensive fragility has them sitting vulnerable. Sassuolo, despite their own inconsistency, has shown glimpses of attacking prowess, particularly when facing Monza, boasting a 3-1-0 record in their last four encounters. With their recent form averaging 1.4 goals per game against a shaky Monza defense, they have a strong chance to capitalize. The trends indicate that Sassuolo can at least hold their ground here, making the 'Sassuolo 0' handicap an enticing bet for this match-up.
Monza vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo Draw No Bet (-125)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Monza welcomes Sassuolo, the form book heavily favors the visitors. Monza's home record is dismal, with just one draw and four losses in their last five outings. They’ve struggled to find the net, averaging only 0.8 goals per game at home, while conceding a staggering 2.8. In stark contrast, Sassuolo has shown resilience, claiming three points against Monza in their previous five encounters. Interestingly, while both teams have struggled to convert chances, Sassuolo at least boasts a higher shot average on the road, hovering around 13.4 attempts per game. Monza's lack of attacking threat and defensive frailties make Sassuolo a compelling pick for the Draw No Bet market. With the odds favoring Sassuolo and their historical edge over Monza, backing the visitors seems to be the prudent choice in this Serie A clash.
That is how our model reads Monza v Sassuolo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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