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Model picks & player props
Sassuolo
VS
Bologna

Sassuolo vs Bologna Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 2:03AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Outdoor
Sun 6 Sep 2026, 4:00PM
18
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Bologna Moneyline -125

The model graded 18 markets for Sassuolo vs Bologna (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $180 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 6 Sep 2026, 4:00PM at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win64.5%
The price says55.6%
Best price-125
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Bologna High65% chance -125
Head to Head (3-Way) High65% chance —
Spread High95% chance —
Total Goals High71% chance —
Total Goals Lean45% chance —
Spread High96% chance —
Draw No Bet Long-shot28% chance —
Total Goals Long-shot24% chance —
Spread High86% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 32 bookmakers compared
Winner
Sassuolo4.10+310Fanatics
Draw3.50+250Betfred
Bologna2.00+100Betfair Exchange (UK)
Total goals
Over2.52.04+104Matchbook
Under2.51.85-118Bovada
Market backing Bologna: 2.28 → 2.06 (28 books)
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 43 of 91 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 30
AS Monaco
Marseille @ AS Monaco
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $187
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Bologna
-125
+ 17 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
BolognaMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BolognaHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BolognaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BolognaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Sassuolo on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Sassuolo
Exact move size 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Sassuolo

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Bologna

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Sassuolo vs Bologna: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSassuolo @ BolognaNo line posted
3-3-2past meetings (last 8)
Sassuolo26%Home form9-7-4Away form3-5-12
past meetings, home wins3 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Bologna have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 2.

Both Teams to ScoreSassuolo @ BolognaNo line posted
6 / 8past meetings, both scored
Bologna60%Sassuolo50%Free board16-13
past meetings, both scored6 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 60% of Bologna's and 50% of Sassuolo's recent matches.

Total GoalsSassuolo @ BolognaNo line posted
5 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.550%Away ov2.550%past meetings avg3.6
past meetings, over 2.55 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.6 goals, over 2.5 in 5 of them.

Sassuolo @ Bologna — what the model found

Our model graded 18 betting markets for Sassuolo at Bologna — 18 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

18
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 18 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 17 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Sassuolo @ Bologna — where the money went

Since betting opened on Sassuolo at Bologna, the market has moved away from Sassuolo across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Sassuolo▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Bologna▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Draw▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Bologna -0.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Sassuolo 0.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 2.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
28 Dec 25 Both Teams to Score Yes ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Sassuolo vs Bologna in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Sunday 6 September 2026 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. The model has generated 18 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Bologna 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
15 Mar 2026Bologna @ Sassuolo0–1Bologna
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