On Sunday 13 September 2026, Monza play Sassuolo in Serie A. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Sassuolo +0.25 Goal Handicap, priced at -169 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Monza vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo +0.25 Goal Handicap (-169)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Sassuolo prepares to visit Monza, the recent form of both teams reveals a stark contrast. Monza is struggling at home, with a dismal record of 0-1-4 in their last five matches, and they've averaged just a goal while conceding a whopping 2.6 per game. Their inability to generate significant expected goals is alarming, showing a lack of attacking threat. Sassuolo, while not without their troubles, have historically fared well against Monza, winning three of their last five encounters. They’ve managed to score an average of 1.4 goals in their recent outings, which is promising given Monza's leaky defense. With Sassuolo's attacking potential and Monza's struggles, backing Sassuolo at a 0.25 handicap feels like a smart move, especially with their track record against this opponent. Expect Sassuolo to seize the opportunity and take home at least a point, if not more.
Monza vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo +0 Goal Handicap (-125)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Monza welcomes Sassuolo to the U-Power Stadium, the scales seem tipped in favor of the visitors. Monza has struggled at home recently, enduring a dismal streak of four losses in their last five matches, averaging a mere 1 goal while conceding a staggering 2.6. Their lack of attacking threat is alarming; they’re generating an xG of 0 at home and have managed only 3.8 shots on target per game. Sassuolo, while not setting the world ablaze, has a solid record against Monza, winning three of the last five encounters. With an average of 1.4 goals scored across their last matches, they’re likely to exploit Monza’s defensive frailties. Given Sassuolo's overall form and historical dominance, backing them on a handicap of 0 feels like a savvy play. This matchup highlights Sassuolo's chance to capitalize on Monza's home woes and turn the tide in their favor.
Monza vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo Draw No Bet (-130)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Monza prepares to host Sassuolo, the trends tell a compelling story favoring the visitors. Monza’s home form has been dismal, with just one draw and four losses in their last five matches, averaging a meager 0.8 goals per game at home. Their defensive woes are underscored by conceding an average of 2.8 goals to opponents. Sassuolo, despite their own struggles, has historically fared well against Monza, winning three out of the last five encounters. While Sassuolo has stumbled lately, their attack is more potent, averaging 1.4 goals per game and showing a higher xG than Monza. With Monza's lack of home advantage and Sassuolo's solid record against them, backing Sassuolo in the Draw No Bet market could be wise. If they find their rhythm, they might just turn the tide in this Serie A clash.
That is how our model reads Monza v Sassuolo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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