On Friday 18 September 2026, Monza play Sassuolo in Serie A. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Sassuolo +2.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -5000 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Monza vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo +2.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Monza welcomes Sassuolo for this intriguing Serie A clash, the betting landscape heavily favors the visitors. Monza's home form has been dismal—without a win in their last five, they average just 0.8 goals while conceding a staggering 2.8. In contrast, Sassuolo, while inconsistent, has shown resilience with a 1.6 goals-per-game average in their last outings. Despite their own struggles on the road, they possess a historical edge over Monza—boasting a record of 3-1-0 in their last five meetings. With Monza's expected goals (xG) hovering around zero recently, it's hard to envision them keeping Sassuolo at bay, especially given the visitors' ability to create opportunities. The odds suggest Sassuolo winning by more than 2.5 goals is a likely outcome, making this handicap bet a compelling choice as they aim to capitalize on Monza's defensive frailties.

Monza vs Sassuolo: Over 4.5 Total Corners (-3333)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Monza prepares to host Sassuolo, the corner stats paint an intriguing picture. Monza’s last five home matches have seen them averaging a mere 0.8 goals, but they’ve also been racking up an average of 10.6 shots per game. This hints at a team that’s pushing forward, even if the goals aren’t coming. Meanwhile, Sassuolo’s away form has them averaging 13.4 shots, with corners likely following suit. Notably, both teams struggle to finish their chances but generate plenty of attacking play. When you combine Monza’s tendency to concede 2.8 goals at home with Sassuolo’s attacking prowess, it’s easy to foresee plenty of action around the corners. With both sides capable of getting into dangerous positions, betting on over 4.5 corners feels like a strong play. Expect an uptick in corner kicks as both teams push for crucial points in this tightly contested Serie A clash.

Monza vs Sassuolo: Over 5.5 Total Corners (-1111)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Monza welcomes Sassuolo for this Serie A clash, the corner flags are likely to be waving frequently. Monza's recent home form, despite lacking victories (0-0-5 in their last five at home), has seen them generate an impressive average of 10.6 shots per game. With a tendency to push forward and a high foul count of 12.2 per game, they’re prone to inviting corners as they attack and defend. Sassuolo, on the other hand, has shown resilience in their travels, averaging 13.4 shots away from home. Their corner average reflects this attacking intent. Given Monza's last five encounters against Sassuolo, where they managed a 3-1-0 record, expect a back-and-forth that leads to a higher number of corners. All signs point to an exciting matchup, making the 'Over 5.5' corners a compelling bet here.

That is how our model reads Monza v Sassuolo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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