On Sunday 13 September 2026, Monza play Sassuolo in Serie A. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Sassuolo +0.25 Goal Handicap, priced at -169 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Monza vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo +0.25 Goal Handicap (-169)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As we look ahead to Monza vs. Sassuolo, it’s hard to ignore the recent form of both teams. Monza has struggled at home, recording a dismal 0-1-4 in their last five matches, averaging just 1 goal per game while conceding a staggering 2.6. Their attacking woes are compounded by a troubling xG of zero, indicating a severe lack of creativity. On the flip side, Sassuolo, despite their own inconsistencies, boasts a stronger record against Monza historically, with three wins in their last five encounters. They’ve faced tougher competition and managed to score 1.4 goals per game recently. With Monza's defensive frailties and Sassuolo's ability to capitalize on mistakes, backing Sassuolo at a -0.25 handicap feels like the smart play here. They’re primed to exploit Monza's vulnerabilities and secure a much-needed win.
Monza vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo +0 Goal Handicap (-125)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Monza prepares to host Sassuolo, the stats paint a clear picture of the struggle Monza faces at home. With just one draw and four losses in their last five matches at home, they’ve managed a meager 0.8 goals per game while conceding a hefty 2.8. Their lack of attacking threat is glaring, averaging an expected goals (xG) of zero in recent outings. Sassuolo, on the other hand, hasn't been too convincing away either, but they did secure a crucial point against higher-placed teams and have historically fared well against Monza, winning three of the last five matchups. With their attacking prowess showing signs of revival, even if marginal, taking Sassuolo at a handicap of 0 feels like a savvy move. They’re well-positioned to capitalize on Monza’s defensive frailties, making this an enticing bet for those looking to back the visitors this Friday.
Monza vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo Draw No Bet (-130)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As we gear up for this intriguing Serie A clash, Sassuolo appears to hold the upper hand against a struggling Monza side. Recent form tells a clear story: Monza has faltered at home, managing a dismal 0-1-4 record in their last five matches, with a mere average of 0.8 goals scored while conceding 2.8. On the flip side, Sassuolo, despite their own ups and downs, have historically dominated this matchup with a 3-1-0 record over the last five encounters. Their recent away form hasn’t been stellar, but they’ve shown resilience, averaging 1.4 goals scored in their last five. With the implied probability weighing in their favor, a Draw No Bet on Sassuolo feels like a savvy choice. Backing them not only provides a safety net against a draw but also capitalizes on Monza’s ongoing struggles. Expect Sassuolo to seize this opportunity to secure a much-needed win.
That is how our model reads Monza v Sassuolo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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