On Friday 11 September 2026, Monza play Sassuolo in Serie A. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Sassuolo +0.25 Goal Handicap, priced at -175 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Monza vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo +0.25 Goal Handicap (-175)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Monza prepares to host Sassuolo, recent form suggests that backing the visitors with a 0.25 handicap could be a savvy play. Monza has struggled at home, with a dismal record of just one point from their last five matches and an average of only 0.8 goals scored at home, while conceding a hefty 2.8. Their xG stats show a stark inability to generate meaningful chances, averaging zero xG over the last five games. On the flip side, Sassuolo, while not in top form themselves, have been slightly more productive on the road, averaging 1.4 goals and creating more shots compared to Monza. Historically, Sassuolo has had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of their last five encounters. Given Monza’s defensive frailties and Sassuolo's recent scoring ability, putting your chips on Sassuolo to cover the handicap seems like a smart bet.
Monza vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo +0 Goal Handicap (-130)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Monza prepares to host Sassuolo, the trends point towards an intriguing matchup favoring the visitors. Monza has struggled at home, with a dismal record of 0-1-4 in their last five outings, averaging a mere goal while conceding a staggering 2.6. Their xG stats reflect a lack of creativity, registering zero in their last five home games. Sassuolo, while inconsistent themselves, have shown resilience against Monza, winning three of their last five encounters. Their recent performances indicate a slight uptick, averaging 1.4 goals in their last five, and they'll be eager to exploit Monza's defensive frailties. With both teams struggling for form, Sassuolo’s slight edge, combined with Monza’s home woes, makes a bet on Sassuolo at '0' a compelling choice. Expect the visitors to capitalize on the hosts' vulnerabilities and secure at least a draw.
Monza vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo Draw No Bet (-130)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Monza gears up to host Sassuolo, it’s hard to ignore the trajectory of both teams. Monza has struggled at home, with a dismal record of 0-1-4 in their last five, averaging just 0.8 goals while conceding an alarming 2.8. Their xG numbers paint an equally grim picture, suggesting they’re creating almost nothing. Sassuolo, while not flawless on the road, has been marginally better, scoring an average of 1.4 goals in their recent outings. Notably, they’ve historically dominated this fixture, boasting a record of 3-1-0 against Monza in their last five meetings. With Sassuolo needing a turnaround after a mixed bag of results, backing them in the Draw No Bet market presents a compelling opportunity. Given the recent form and head-to-head history, Sassuolo looks poised to snag the win, or at the very least, avoid defeat.
That is how our model reads Monza v Sassuolo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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