Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Model picks & player props
New York Yankees
VS
Toronto Blue Jays

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 10:09AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Rogers Centre, Toronto
Indoor
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 5:37PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
New York Yankees -3 Spread +394

The model graded 70 markets for New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $494 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 16 Aug 2026, 5:37PM at Rogers Centre.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win24.0%
The price says20.2%
Best price+394
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread New York Yankees -3 Long-shot24% chance +394
Spread Long-shot15% chance
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Lean41% chance
Moneyline Lean51% chance
Spread Long-shot26% chance
Spread Long-shot12% chance
Batter - Walks × 11 props Highup to 95%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 8 props Highup to 89%
Batter - Singles × 9 props Highup to 89%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 84%
Batter - Hits × 2 props Highup to 79%
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 2 props Highup to 82%
Batter - Total Bases × 2 props Highup to 90%
Batter - Runs Scored × 4 props Highup to 82%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 12 · $100 returned $468

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
New York Yankees
-6.5
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,403+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Blue JaysMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Ryan McMahon 3BOut
  • George Lombard Jr. SSDay-to-day
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Ryan Weathers SPOut

Probable pitcher

Will Warren SP

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Trey Yesavage SPOut
  • Jameson Taillon SPOut
  • Josh Smith 2BOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Jonatan Clase LFOut
  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Shane Bieber SPOut
  • Joe Mantiply RPOut
  • Jake Bloss SPOut
  • Luis Urias 2BOut
  • Patrick Corbin SPOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

Probable pitcher

Max Scherzer SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 5:37PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 23 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability23 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Trent Grisham SDP Batter - Walks
Ben Rice NYY Batter - Walks
Ernie Clement TOR Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Charles McAdoo Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto TOR Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineToronto Blue JaysNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.0L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs New York Yankees L52-3

Toronto Blue Jays moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.0 runs/gm.

Run LineToronto Blue Jays run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.0L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs New York Yankees L52-3

Toronto Blue Jays spread form: last five 2-3, 1.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Toronto Blue Jays vs New York YankeesNo line posted

Toronto Blue Jays total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsToronto Blue Jays team totalNo line posted
0.9runs we expect
L5 RF1.0L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs New York Yankees L52-3

Toronto Blue Jays team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.0 runs/gm.

New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays — recent results

Toronto Blue Jays have won 4 of their last 5 games; New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5.

Toronto Blue Jays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–0SEAHome
W4–3SEAHome
W8–1SEAHome
L2–13KCHome
W3–0KCHome
New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W16–1BOSHome
W9–2BOSHome
L0–6BOSHome
W1–0BOSHome
L1–5HOUHome

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 0.2 runs per game (1-4) while New York Yankees are at 0.2 (0-5); Toronto Blue Jays pitchers are allowing 0.2 earned runs per game versus 1.0 for New York Yankees.

0.2
Toronto Blue Jays runs/G
0.2
New York Yankees runs/G
Last 5 gamesToronto Blue JaysNew York Yankees
Runs / game0.20.2
Hits / game0.82.2
Home runs / game0.00.2
Walks drawn / game0.80.6
Batter K / game0.42.0
Earned runs allowed / game0.21.0
Pitching K / game0.83.2
Walks allowed / game0.61.0
L5 record1-40-5

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Toronto Blue Jays won 5, New York Yankees won 5.

DateToronto Blue JaysNew York YankeesWinner
Aug 2338New York Yankees
Aug 2243Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 2113New York Yankees
Aug 1634New York Yankees
Aug 1541Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 1431Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 1438New York Yankees
Jun 1313New York Yankees
Jun 1285Toronto Blue Jays
May 2120Toronto Blue Jays

Who’s out or in doubt

23 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Blue Jays
PlayerStatus
Trey Yesavage SPOUT
Jameson Taillon SPOUT
Josh Smith 2BOUT
Anthony Santander RFOUT
Jonatan Clase LFOUT
Yimi Garcia RPOUT
Shane Bieber SPOUT
Joe Mantiply RPOUT
New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Ryan McMahon 3BOUT
George Lombard Jr. SSDAY-TO-DAY
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Ryan Weathers SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays — model preview

Our New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays prediction for August 17, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 17, 2026 our model has run New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is George Springer (TOR) Under 0.5 RBIs (-286), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 7.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 8 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 8.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 9.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 10.5 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 6 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 9.5 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 8.5 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 10.5 ✓ HIT
15 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 6.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Yankees vs Jays, or as Jays vs Yankees. The most recent game between them was Sunday 16 August 2026 at Rogers Centre. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 71 meetings on record
New York Yankees 36–35 across the last 71 meetings · these games average 9.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees8–3New York Yankees
22 Aug 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees3–4Toronto Blue Jays
21 Aug 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees3–1New York Yankees
16 Aug 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays3–4New York Yankees
15 Aug 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays4–1Toronto Blue Jays
14 Aug 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays3–1Toronto Blue Jays
14 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays3–8New York Yankees
13 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays1–3New York Yankees
12 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays8–5Toronto Blue Jays
21 May 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees0–2Toronto Blue Jays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 71 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.