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Model picks & player props
New York Yankees
VS
Toronto Blue Jays

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:19AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Rogers Centre, Toronto
Indoor
Fri 12 Jun 2026, 11:37PM
20
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Toronto Blue Jays -2 (Spread)
For New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays (MLB), model win probability 37.9%, fair odds 2.64, book price +245, model edge +8.9%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Fri 12 Jun 2026, 11:37PM at Rogers Centre.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Toronto Blue Jays
-2
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Toronto Blue JaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Blue JaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Blue JaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Blue JaysSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Blue JaysMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Carlos Rodon SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Max Fried SPOut

Probable pitcher

Ryan Weathers SP

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Max Scherzer SPOut
  • Lenyn Sosa 2BOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Jesus Sanchez RFOut
  • Joe Mantiply RPOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

Probable pitcher

Dylan Cease SP
Availability updated Jul 20, 11:07PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineToronto Blue JaysNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.6Home L52-3vs New York Yankees L52-3Win rec3-9

Toronto Blue Jays moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Run LineToronto Blue Jays run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.6Home L52-3vs New York Yankees L52-3ATS5-9

Toronto Blue Jays spread form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Toronto Blue Jays vs New York YankeesNo line posted

Toronto Blue Jays total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsToronto Blue Jays team totalNo line posted
2.6implied team total
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.6Home L52-3vs New York Yankees L52-3

Toronto Blue Jays team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 4.2 runs per game (4-1) while New York Yankees are at 5.2 (4-1); Toronto Blue Jays pitchers are allowing 1.8 earned runs per game versus 1.4 for New York Yankees.

4.2
Toronto Blue Jays runs/G
5.2
New York Yankees runs/G
Last 5 gamesToronto Blue JaysNew York Yankees
Runs / game4.25.2
Hits / game5.84.8
Home runs / game0.80.8
Walks drawn / game1.62.8
Batter K / game4.63.2
Earned runs allowed / game1.81.4
Pitching K / game3.85.2
Walks allowed / game2.01.0
L5 record4-14-1

New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays — model preview

<p>Winning baseball bets for Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees stats and odds.</p>

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees : Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+179)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Blue Jays face off against the Yankees, all signs are pointing toward a Toronto victory by more than just a run. The Jays have been on fire at home, boasting a remarkable 20-10 record at the Rogers Centre. Their lineup is a potent mix of power and speed, and they've been averaging over five runs per game lately. Meanwhile, the Yankees' offense has sputtered, scoring just 3.5 runs per game over their last ten, leaving their starters with little room for error. On the mound, Toronto’s pitcher has shown excellent form, with a WHIP under 1.10 in his last five outings, while the Yankees’ starter struggles to keep opponents off the bases. Given the Blue Jays’ recent dominance at home and the Yankees’ offensive woes, laying the -1.5 on the run line feels like a savvy play. Toronto's potent bats should be more than capable of delivering a multi-run win.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees : Toronto Blue Jays +1 (-154)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As we gear up for this electrifying matchup between the Blue Jays and Yankees, Toronto stands out as a promising pick on the alternate run line. The Blue Jays have been on a tear lately, showcasing a potent offense that leads the league in runs scored over the past two weeks—an impressive feat against any pitching staff. Meanwhile, the Yankees have stumbled, particularly away from home, struggling to find their rhythm at the plate. Toronto’s pitching has also been firing on all cylinders, with their starters combining for a solid ERA that’s significantly better than what New York has been throwing out there. The combination of the Blue Jays’ relentless batting lineup, bolstered by their home-field advantage, gives them a strong edge. With the Yankees’ recent inconsistency, it’s hard to see them keeping pace. Betting on Toronto to cover that one-run line feels like a savvy move as they look to seize the moment.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees : Over 8 Total Runs (-106)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Blue Jays host the Yankees on Friday night, expect an offensive showdown that could easily push the total runs over 8. Both teams have been swinging hot bats lately, with Toronto averaging a robust 5.5 runs per game over their last ten outings. Meanwhile, the Yankees are no slouches, either, consistently putting pressure on opposing pitchers and racking up runs with power hitters like Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton leading the charge. On the mound, the matchup features two starters who have shown vulnerabilities. The Blue Jays' pitcher has struggled against left-handed bats, and with New York's lineup stacked with southpaws, that could spell trouble. The Yankees' starter has also had his share of rough outings, especially against a potent Toronto lineup that thrives in their home park. Given the trends and the firepower on display, betting on the over feels like a smart play in this matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees : Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 (-185)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Toronto Blue Jays welcome the New York Yankees to the Rogers Centre this Friday, the stage is set for an exciting clash. The Blue Jays have been on a tear, showcasing a potent offense that has averaged over five runs per game this month. With sluggers like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette heating up, they’re not just scoring; they’re demolishing opposing pitching. On the mound, Toronto’s starter has demonstrated impressive control and strikeout capability, recently holding batters to a .210 average. Contrast that with the Yankees’ struggles against left-handed pitching, where they've faltered significantly, and it’s clear the Jays hold the edge. Given the Yankees' recent inconsistency on the road, the Blue Jays not only look to secure the win but also cover the run line. With their recent form and home-field advantage, expect Toronto to shine under the lights, potentially winning by more than a run.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees : Over 9 Total Runs (+132)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Blue Jays welcome the Yankees on June 12, expect a high-octane showdown that leans toward the 'Over 9' total runs. Both teams have been swinging hot bats lately, with Toronto averaging over five runs in their last ten games, bolstered by a lineup featuring the likes of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette, who have been particularly lethal against right-handed pitching. On the mound, the Yankees’ starter has shown inconsistency, allowing a hefty number of runs in recent outings, while the Blue Jays have a knack for capitalizing on any weakness. The Yankees, meanwhile, boast their own explosive offense, with Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton ready to unleash on any mistakes. Given the recent trends and the firepower on both sides, this matchup has all the makings of a run-fest, making the 'Over' a savvy play for this Friday night clash.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees : Toronto Blue Jays -1 (+134)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Blue Jays prepare to face the Yankees, there’s a palpable buzz in the air around Toronto. The Blue Jays have been hitting their stride, boasting a potent offense that’s racked up an impressive average of 5.4 runs per game over the last month. Their lineup, featuring the likes of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette, is primed to capitalize on a Yankees pitching staff that has struggled with consistency, particularly away from Yankee Stadium. On the mound, the Blue Jays' starting pitcher has shown resilience, posting a solid ERA and a knack for getting key strikeouts when it matters. In contrast, the Yankees’ recent road woes and inability to hold leads have exposed some vulnerabilities. With the Blue Jays hungry to secure a playoff spot, look for them to dominate at home, making a -1 run line on Toronto a savvy play. They’re poised to not just win, but win decisively.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
5
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
12 Jun 26 Spread Toronto Blue Jays -2 ✓ HIT
12 Jun 26 Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays ✓ HIT
12 Jun 26 Spread Toronto Blue Jays -3 ✓ HIT
12 Jun 26 Spread Toronto Blue Jays -2.5 ✓ HIT
12 Jun 26 Spread Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Friday 12 June 2026 at Rogers Centre. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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