Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Model picks & player props
Baltimore Orioles
VS
Toronto Blue Jays

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks & Predictions

Model updated Oct 1, 9:00AM UTC

Our model graded 70 markets for Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays and backs Baltimore Orioles hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $232.

MLB
Rogers Centre, Toronto
Indoor
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 5:37PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Baltimore Orioles Moneyline +132

The model graded 70 markets for Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $232 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 13 Sep 2026, 5:37PM at Rogers Centre.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win48.9%
The price says42.0%
Best price+132
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Baltimore Orioles Lean49% chance +132
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot36% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot12% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean46% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot7% chance Members
Batter - Doubles × 11 props Highup to 75% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 4 props Leanup to 49% Members
Batter - Walks × 3 props Highup to 85% Members
Batter - RBIs × 4 props Highup to 86% Members
Batter - Home Runs × 2 props Long-shotup to 32% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 8 props Long-shotup to 32% Members
Pitcher - Outs × 1 prop Highup to 88% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 1 prop Long-shotup to 26% Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 2 props Highup to 70% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays last met on Sun 13 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

Unlock every pick for this game
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 · $100 returned $800

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 131 of 230 right (mlb pitcher outs unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 30
Payton Tolle Under 17.5
Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $181
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 58,536+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Baltimore OriolesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Baltimore Orioles

  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut
  • Kyle Bradish SPOut
  • Blaze Alexander 3BOut
  • Tyler O'Neill RFOut
  • Samuel Basallo COut
  • Jackson Holliday 2BOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Luis Robert Jr. CFOut
  • Reed Trimble LFDay-to-day
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Cameron Foster RPDay-to-day

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Dylan Cease SPOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Shane Bieber SPOut
  • Jameson Taillon SPOut
  • Rudy Martin Jr. RFOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Patrick Corbin SPOut
  • Jonatan Clase LFOut
  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Jake Bloss SPOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut
Availability updated Sep 28, 5:31PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 26 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability26 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Colton Cowser BAL Batter - Doubles
Heston Kjerstad Batter - Doubles
Coby Mayo BAL Batter - Doubles
Samuel Basallo Batter - Doubles
Myles Straw CLE Batter - Doubles

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineToronto Blue JaysNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.4L5 RA5.0Home L53-2vs Baltimore Orioles L53-2Free board22-20

Toronto Blue Jays moneyline form: last five 2-3, 4.4 runs/gm.

Run LineToronto Blue Jays run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.4L5 RA5.0Home L53-2vs Baltimore Orioles L53-2

Toronto Blue Jays spread form: last five 2-3, 4.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore OriolesNo line posted

Toronto Blue Jays total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsToronto Blue Jays team totalNo line posted
4.1runs we expect
L5 RF4.4L5 RA5.0Home L53-2vs Baltimore Orioles L53-2

Toronto Blue Jays team total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.4 runs/gm.

Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays — recent results

Toronto Blue Jays have won 2 of their last 5 games; Baltimore Orioles have won 4 of their last 5.

Toronto Blue Jays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–1CINHome
L1–5CINHome
W6–5CINHome
L2–4BALAway
L2–4BALAway
Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–6NYYAway
W10–2NYYAway
W4–2TORHome
W4–2TORHome
W4–3TORHome

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 2.8 runs per game (1-4) while Baltimore Orioles are at 5.6 (3-2); Toronto Blue Jays pitchers are allowing 4.4 earned runs per game versus 3.8 for Baltimore Orioles.

2.8
Toronto Blue Jays runs/G
5.6
Baltimore Orioles runs/G
Last 5 gamesToronto Blue JaysBaltimore Orioles
Runs / game2.85.6
Hits / game8.88.2
Home runs / game1.61.2
Walks drawn / game2.23.0
Batter K / game6.611.6
Earned runs allowed / game4.43.8
Pitching K / game8.28.0
Walks allowed / game3.23.0
L5 record1-43-2

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Toronto Blue Jays won 4, Baltimore Orioles won 6.

DateToronto Blue JaysBaltimore OriolesWinner
Sep 2324Baltimore Orioles
Sep 2324Baltimore Orioles
Sep 2134Baltimore Orioles
Sep 1381Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 1273Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 1147Baltimore Orioles
Jun 764Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 664Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 5313Baltimore Orioles
May 3159Baltimore Orioles

Who’s out or in doubt

26 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Blue Jays
PlayerStatus
Dylan Cease SPOUT
Anthony Santander RFOUT
Shane Bieber SPOUT
Jameson Taillon SPOUT
Rudy Martin Jr. RFOUT
Cody Ponce SPOUT
Patrick Corbin SPOUT
Jonatan Clase LFOUT
Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Jordan Westburg 3BOUT
Kyle Bradish SPOUT
Blaze Alexander 3BOUT
Tyler O'Neill RFOUT
Samuel Basallo COUT
Jackson Holliday 2BOUT
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays — model preview

Our Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays prediction for September 14, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 14, 2026 our model has run Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Brandon Valenzuela Under 0.5 Walks (-370), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 8 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 4.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 7 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 5.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 6 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Orioles vs Jays, or as Jays vs Orioles. The most recent game between them was Sunday 13 September 2026 at Rogers Centre. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 62 meetings on record
Baltimore Orioles 35–26 across the last 62 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 9.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
23 Sep 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles4–2Baltimore Orioles
21 Sep 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles4–3Baltimore Orioles
13 Sep 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays8–1Toronto Blue Jays
12 Sep 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays7–3Toronto Blue Jays
11 Sep 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays4–7Baltimore Orioles
7 Jun 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays6–4Toronto Blue Jays
6 Jun 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays6–4Toronto Blue Jays
5 Jun 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays3–13Baltimore Orioles
31 May 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles9–5Baltimore Orioles
30 May 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles6–5Baltimore Orioles

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 62 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.