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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
San Francisco Giants

Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 10:22PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Oracle Park, San Francisco
Outdoor
Sun 12 Jul 2026, 8:05PM
20
Game markets graded
10
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Under 9.5 (Total Runs)
The model graded 30 markets for Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $162 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 78.5%, fair odds 1.27, book price -161, model edge +16.7%. Tip-off Sun 12 Jul 2026, 8:05PM at Oracle Park.
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Under 9.5 · $100 returned $162

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Runs
Under
9.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Jaden Hill RPOut
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Jeff Criswell RPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Gabriel Hughes SP

San Francisco Giants

  • Daniel Susac CDay-to-day
  • Marcelo Mayer 2BOut
  • Matt Chapman 3BOut
  • Victor Bericoto RFOut
  • Harrison Bader CFOut
  • Joel Peguero RPOut
  • Matt Gage RPOut
  • Jesus Rodriguez COut
  • Casey Schmitt LFOut
  • Trevor McDonald SPOut
  • Rowan Wick RPOut
  • Hayden Birdsong RPOut
  • Randy Rodriguez RPOut
  • Jose Butto RPOut

Probable pitcher

Blade Tidwell SP
Availability updated Aug 11, 1:45AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 23 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability23 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jung Hoo Lee SFG Batter - Total Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
TJ Rumfield Batter - Total Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Luis Arraez MIN Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Luis Arraez MIN Batter - Total Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Mickey Moniak COL Batter - Total Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSan Francisco GiantsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF1.4L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

San Francisco Giants moneyline form: last five 3-2, 1.4 runs/gm.

Run LineSan Francisco Giants run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF1.4L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

San Francisco Giants spread form: last five 3-2, 1.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · San Francisco Giants vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

San Francisco Giants total runs form: last five 3-2, 1.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSan Francisco Giants team totalNo line posted
1.6runs we expect
L5 RF1.4L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

San Francisco Giants team total runs form: last five 3-2, 1.4 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants — what the model found

Our model graded 30 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants — 20 on the game itself and 10 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
10
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 30 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 29 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants — recent results

San Francisco Giants have won 1 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 1 of their last 5.

San Francisco Giants — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–3DETHome
W5–2DETHome
L0–8DETHome
L4–5TEXAway
L0–6TEXAway
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–7STLAway
L2–3STLAway
W8–6STLAway
L7–9TBHome
L0–4TBHome

Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants — recent meetings

These two have met 7 times recently: San Francisco Giants won 4, Colorado Rockies won 3.

DateSan Francisco GiantsColorado RockiesWinner
Jul 1231San Francisco Giants
Jul 1142San Francisco Giants
Jul 1134Colorado Rockies
Jul 1082San Francisco Giants
Jul 567Colorado Rockies
Jul 564San Francisco Giants
Jul 4315Colorado Rockies

Who’s out or in doubt

23 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

San Francisco Giants
PlayerStatus
Daniel Susac CDAY-TO-DAY
Marcelo Mayer 2BOUT
Matt Chapman 3BOUT
Victor Bericoto RFOUT
Harrison Bader CFOUT
Joel Peguero RPOUT
Matt Gage RPOUT
Jesus Rodriguez COUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Jaden Hill RPOUT
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Jeff Criswell RPOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants — model preview

Winning baseball bets for San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies stats and odds.

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies : San Francisco Giants -2 (+177)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Giants take to the field this Sunday, they’re riding a wave of momentum that’s hard to ignore. Their lineup has been a juggernaut lately, averaging over five runs per game in the last week. The Rockies, on the other hand, have struggled with consistency, particularly on the road, where their pitching has been prone to giving up big innings. Giants' ace is in prime form, boasting a sub-3.00 ERA at home, and he thrives against left-handed hitters—perfect for neutralizing Colorado’s lineup. With the Rockies' weak track record against top-tier pitching, the Giants should be able to exploit this matchup. Additionally, San Francisco's aggressive approach with runners in scoring position has paid dividends, and their defense has tightened up considerably. Expect them to not just win, but to do so decisively, making the -2 run line an enticing play. The combination of recent trends and matchup advantages strongly favors the home team.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
5
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
12 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 9.5 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 Moneyline San Francisco Giants ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 Spread San Francisco Giants -4 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 Spread San Francisco Giants -2.5 ✗ MISS
12 Jul 26 Spread San Francisco Giants -1.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Giants, or as Giants vs Rockies. The most recent game between them was Sunday 12 July 2026 at Oracle Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 10 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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