Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ezequiel Tovar is Over 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 26 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 26%, the price says 34%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 8 of the last 10
Under 1.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 22, 6:08PM UTC
MLB

Ezequiel Tovar

COL

Ezequiel Tovar has one live pick today: Batter - Runs Scored Over 0.5 that pays $291 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Over 0.5 +191 (2.91) · $100→$291
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies
Coors Field, Denver, Colorado · Outdoor
Wed 23 Sep, 12:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 181 of 387 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
26 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Batter - Runs Scored
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 25.9% · before adjusting for past results 23.9% · the book's price implies 34.4% · gap -8.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored23.9%25.9%34.4%3.86-10.5%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/4
Last 10 games1/4

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Ezequiel Tovar (COL) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+191)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ezequiel Tovar (COL) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+191). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +191 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $29.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Ezequiel Tovar's lines for Wed 23 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Runs Scored 0.5
How many home runs does Ezequiel Tovar hit?

Ezequiel Tovar's batter runs scored line is 0.5.

Batter Total Bases 1.5
+195 best over price · 7 booksHow many home runs does Ezequiel Tovar hit?

Ezequiel Tovar's batter total bases line is 1.5, best over price +195 across 7 books.

Batter RBIs 0.5
+271 best over price · 11 booksHow many home runs does Ezequiel Tovar hit?

Ezequiel Tovar's batter rbis line is 0.5, best over price +271 across 11 books.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5
How many home runs does Ezequiel Tovar hit?

Ezequiel Tovar's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 0.5.

Batter Strikeouts 1.5
How many home runs does Ezequiel Tovar hit?

Ezequiel Tovar's batter strikeouts line is 1.5.

Batter Strikeouts 0.5
How many home runs does Ezequiel Tovar hit?

Ezequiel Tovar's batter strikeouts line is 0.5.

Batter Hits 1.5
+380 best over price · 1 bookHow many home runs does Ezequiel Tovar hit?

Ezequiel Tovar's batter hits line is 1.5, best over price +380 across 1 book.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5
How many home runs does Ezequiel Tovar hit?

Ezequiel Tovar's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 1.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Ezequiel Tovar is averaging 0.2 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.2
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
0.0
Runs
0.2
Walks
0.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Ezequiel Tovar has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 30% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.530%
o1.520%
o2.510%
o3.510%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Ezequiel Tovar is averaging 0.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.2 in away games, including his recent form against SFG.

0.2
Hits · Overall
0.2
Hits · Away
1.6
Hits · vs SFG
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.2
HR · vs SFG
Quick answers:How many home runs does Ezequiel Tovar hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -500 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Strikeouts 0.5 Over -147 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -152 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Strikeouts — — — Pending
20 Sep 26 Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending
20 Sep 26 Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Ezequiel Tovar (COL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ezequiel Tovar is Over 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -10.5% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies on Wednesday 23 September at Coors Field, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.