Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Glasnow is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +10.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 7:16PM UTC
MLB
Tyler Glasnow
LAD
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Under 4.5
-169 (1.59)
+10.3% Edge
Milwaukee Brewers
@
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Thu 16 Oct, 10:08PM
OUT
Glasnow (back) threw a bullpen session this past weekend, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
updated Jul 16, 6:16PM UTC · 1d old
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Implied Probability
62.9%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Hits Allowed | 73.2% | — | 62.9% | 1.37 | +10.3% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 8/10 |
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Tyler Glasnow (LAD) Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-169)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.580%
O 3.580%
O 4.560%
O 5.560%
O 6.550%
O 7.530%
O 8.510%
Tyler Glasnow MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 1.5100%
O 2.580%
O 3.550%
O 4.540%
O 5.520%
O 6.510%
Tyler Glasnow MLB hits allowed: cleared over 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.590%
O 1.550%
O 2.530%
O 3.520%
O 4.510%
Tyler Glasnow MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted 80%hit L10
1.8avg earned runs · L5
L2065%
Tyler Glasnow MLB earned runs: cleared over 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games; averaging 1.8 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Tyler Glasnow MLB outs: cleared over 15.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 14.4 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Tyler Glasnow (LAD) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Glasnow is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.3% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday 16 October at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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