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Model picks & player props
New York Mets
VS
Boston Red Sox

New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 2:29PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Fenway Park, Boston
Outdoor
Mon 19 May 2025, 10:45PM
0
Game markets graded
9
Props graded

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Player props & full board
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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Mets

  • Cionel Perez RPOut
  • Austin Warren RPOut
  • Juan Soto LFOut
  • Justin Hagenman RPOut
  • Mark Vientos 1BOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut

Probable pitcher

Sean Manaea SP

Boston Red Sox

  • Adley Rutschman COut
  • Masataka Yoshida DHDay-to-day
  • Triston Casas 1BOut
  • Trevor Story SSOut
  • Roman Anthony LFOut
  • Garrett Crochet SPOut
  • Curtis Mead 3BOut
  • Zack Kelly RPOut
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2BOut
  • Tanner Houck SPOut
  • Johan Oviedo SPOut
  • Kutter Crawford SPOut

Probable pitcher

Erik Miller SP
Availability updated Aug 9, 8:49PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Rafael Devers BOS Batter -Total Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
David Hamilton BOS Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Francisco Lindor NYM Batter -Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Kodai Senga NYM Pitcher - Strikeouts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Trevor Story BOS Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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New York Mets @ Boston Red Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 9 betting markets for New York Mets at Boston Red Sox — 0 on the game itself and 9 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

9
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 9 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 8 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox — recent results

Boston Red Sox have won 3 of their last 5 games; New York Mets have won 4 of their last 5.

Boston Red Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4ATHHome
L3–7ATHHome
W13–1ATHHome
W12–11CHWHome
W4–0CHWHome
New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W11–1PITAway
L0–9PITAway
W6–4PITAway
W13–6CLEAway
W6–5CLEAway

New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Boston Red Sox won 3, New York Mets won 0.

DateBoston Red SoxNew York MetsWinner
Jul 1232Boston Red Sox
Jul 1140Boston Red Sox
Jul 1062Boston Red Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

19 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Boston Red Sox
PlayerStatus
Adley Rutschman COUT
Masataka Yoshida DHDAY-TO-DAY
Triston Casas 1BOUT
Trevor Story SSOUT
Roman Anthony LFOUT
Garrett Crochet SPOUT
Curtis Mead 3BOUT
Zack Kelly RPOUT
New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Cionel Perez RPOUT
Austin Warren RPOUT
Juan Soto LFOUT
Justin Hagenman RPOUT
Mark Vientos 1BOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Mets vs Boston Red Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Mets vs Sox, or as Sox vs Mets. The most recent game between them was Monday 19 May 2025 at Fenway Park. The model has generated 9 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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