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The latest Bet Better model pick for Chris Bassitt is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 99%, versus the book's implied 96%, for a model edge of +2.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
MLB

Chris Bassitt

TOR

+2.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 -2500 (1.04)
+2.5% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Sat 6 Sep, 5:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
98.6%
Implied Probability
96.2%
Model Edge
+2.5%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts98.6%—96.2%1.01+2.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Chris Bassitt (TOR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-2500)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Chris Bassitt to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. His last five overall games show an average of 6.8 strikeouts, significantly higher than the 2.5 line. His performance in away games is also convincing, averaging 5.6 strikeouts. Most notably, his past performance against the Yankees shows an impressive average of 8 strikeouts. With a current overall hit streak of 5 and an away hit streak of 3, Bassitt's consistency further supports this bet. These statistics suggest that Bassitt is more than capable of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game against the Yankees.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
Streak5L2090%
O 2.580%
O 3.570%
O 4.570%
O 5.560%
O 6.560%
O 7.540%

Chris Bassitt MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak44L20100%
O 2.5100%
O 3.590%
O 4.570%
O 5.540%
O 6.520%
O 7.520%
O 8.510%

Chris Bassitt MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak3L2095%
O 0.590%
O 1.540%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%

Chris Bassitt MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
1.2avg earned runs · L5

Chris Bassitt MLB earned runs: averaging 1.2 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
17.2avg outs · L5

Chris Bassitt MLB outs: averaging 17.2 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Chris Bassitt (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chris Bassitt is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees on Saturday 6 September at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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