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The latest Bet Better model pick for Chris Bassitt is Over 7.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 14 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 14%, the price says 7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 1.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 21, 5:55AM UTC
MLB

Chris Bassitt

TOR

Value call

Chris Bassitt has one live pick today: Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 7.5 that pays $1,460 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 7.5 +1360 (14.60) · $100→$1,460
Value call
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Wed 16 Sep, 11:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 164 of 342 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
14 in 100
Predicted
4.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 14.3% · before adjusting for past results 8.6% · the book's price implies 6.8% · gap +7.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts8.6%14.3%6.8%6.97+1.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles: Chris Bassitt Over 7.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts (+1400)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Chris Bassitt needs to get more than 7 strikeouts against the Baltimore Orioles tonight for this bet to hit. He has been strong at home, making a good impression with an average of 6 strikeouts across his last 10 games at Citi Field. The Orioles have been battling against pitchers like him, which could help Bassitt rack up those strikeouts. While the Mets have won 6 of their last 10 games, the Orioles have also shown they can hit well against left-handed pitchers, so it might not be easy. Still, Bassitt's ability to get outs and the Orioles' recent struggles could work in his favor. Just remember, even with solid numbers, there's no guarantee he will meet that strikeout mark tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Chris Bassitt is averaging 5.4 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.4
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
1.2
Runs
1.2
Walks
6.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Chris Bassitt has gone over 2.5 SO in 80% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.580%
o3.570%
o4.570%
o5.560%
o6.560%
o7.540%

Home / away and opponent splits

Chris Bassitt is averaging 5.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.4 in away games, including his recent form against NYY.

5.4
Hits · Overall
5.4
Hits · Away
4.5
Hits · vs NYY
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs NYY
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets Pitcher - Strikeouts 6.5 Over +750 ✗ MISS
16 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets Pitcher - Strikeouts 5.5 Over +330 ✓ HIT
16 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets Pitcher - Strikeouts 4.5 Over +146 ✓ HIT
16 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
16 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
16 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Chris Bassitt (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chris Bassitt is Over 7.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.8% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets on Wednesday 16 September at Citi Field, Queens (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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