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The latest Bet Better model pick for Chris Bassitt is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 99%, versus the book's implied 96%, for a model edge of +2.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 10:08PM UTC
MLB

Chris Bassitt

TOR

+2.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 2.5 -2500 (1.04) · $100→$104
+2.5% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Sat 6 Sep, 5:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 559 of 1,032 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
98.6%
Implied Probability
96.2%
Model Edge
+2.5%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts98.6%—96.2%1.01+2.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Chris Bassitt (TOR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-2500)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Chris Bassitt to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. His last five overall games show an average of 6.8 strikeouts, significantly higher than the 2.5 line. His performance in away games is also convincing, averaging 5.6 strikeouts. Most notably, his past performance against the Yankees shows an impressive average of 8 strikeouts. With a current overall hit streak of 5 and an away hit streak of 3, Bassitt's consistency further supports this bet. These statistics suggest that Bassitt is more than capable of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game against the Yankees.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Chris Bassitt is averaging 5.4 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.4
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
1.2
Runs
1.2
Walks
6.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Chris Bassitt has gone over 2.5 SO in 80% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.580%
o3.570%
o4.560%
o5.560%
o6.520%
o7.540%

Home / away and opponent splits

Chris Bassitt is averaging 5.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.4 in away games, including his recent form against NYY.

5.4
Hits · Overall
5.4
Hits · Away
4.5
Hits · vs NYY
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs NYY
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Chris Bassitt (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chris Bassitt is Over 2.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees on Saturday 6 September at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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