Kawhi Leonard (LA Clippers) Under 44.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-227)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Clippers gear up to face the Warriors, I'm leaning towards taking the under on Kawhi Leonard's combined points, rebounds, and assists at 44.5. While Kawhi has been a scoring machine, averaging 25.6 points over his last five games, his overall numbers suggest a tighter performance against Golden State. Historically, he's managed just 22.4 points per game against them, coupled with a modest 8.4 rebounds. In addition, Leonard has faced tougher defensive matchups lately, reflected in his assists dipping to 3.8 per game. With Golden State's defense tightening up in recent outings, they're allowing slightly fewer points and assists than usual. The trends are hard to ignore-Kawhi has hit this under in every game for the last 14 outings. Given the stakes, he might focus more on facilitating than filling the stat sheet. It feels like a smart play to bet on him coming in under 44.5 here.

Kawhi Leonard (LA Clippers) Under 36.5 Points + Assists (-222)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Clippers gear up to face the Warriors, all eyes will be on Kawhi Leonard. However, betting the under on his combined points and assists seems like the prudent play. Over the last five games, Leonard has averaged just 25.6 points and 3.8 assists, well below the 36.5 mark we're targeting. Even more telling is his performance against Golden State; he's averaged only 22.4 points and 3.8 assists in their last five matchups. With the Warriors allowing an average of 26.8 points and 4.6 assists to opposing players, it's clear that Kawhi might face a tough night. Considering he's hit the under in 9 of his last 10 games, there's a strong chance he won't eclipse that 36.5 benchmark. With a model edge of over 20%, this bet not only feels safe-it looks like a smart play as the Clippers look to secure a win.

Kawhi Leonard (LA Clippers) Under 9.5 Rebounds (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for the Clippers' showdown against the Warriors, targeting Kawhi Leonard for under 9.5 rebounds feels like a savvy play. Despite Leonard's undeniable talent, his recent performance underscores a trend that works in our favor. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 6.4 boards, which is below the threshold we're eyeing. Against the Warriors, known for their pace and sharp shooting, he's averaged 8.4 rebounds-but that's not the full picture. When playing at home, his numbers dip, mirroring the overall trend of his recent outings. With a perfect hit rate of 20 for 20 on hitting the under in this spot, we can lean into the numbers. Given the implied probability of 77.5% here, it's hard to ignore this opportunity. As he faces a Warriors team that's been tough on opposing rebounders, the under on Kawhi looks like a solid bet.

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