On Tuesday 8 September 2026, Liverpool play Fulham in the EPL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 7.5 Total Goals, priced at -10000 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As Liverpool prepares to host Fulham, it's hard to ignore the recent scoring patterns of both teams, suggesting a rather low-scoring affair. Liverpool's attack has averaged just 1.8 goals over their last five matches, with a striking ratio that has seen them fail to convert their chances into high xG figures. Fulham, on the other hand, has struggled mightily away from home, netting a mere 0.2 goals in their last five away outings. Despite Liverpool's attacking prowess on paper, they've only managed to breach the net 1.8 times at Anfield, while Fulham's defense has shown signs of resilience. With both sides hitting a wall in terms of goal-scoring recently, and their xG numbers mirroring this struggle, betting on under 7.5 total goals appears not just safe, but likely. Expect a match with few fireworks—perfect for those leaning towards the under.
Liverpool vs Fulham: Fulham +5.5 Goal Handicap (-10000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As Liverpool welcomes Fulham to Anfield, the recent form of both teams suggests a compelling narrative for taking Fulham with a +5.5 handicap. Liverpool's last five home games reveal a struggle, with only two wins and a troubling average of 1.8 goals scored, while conceding the same number. Meanwhile, Fulham, despite their challenges, have shown resilience, managing a decent 1.4 goals per match versus 1.6 against them in their last five overall. Their away form might raise eyebrows, but they often play tough against Liverpool, going 2-2-1 in their last five encounters. Liverpool's xG and shot statistics indicate pressure without finishing—an aspect Fulham can exploit. Given the disparity in recent performances, Fulham’s ability to stay competitive could very well see them cover that hefty handicap, especially if Liverpool struggles to find their groove.
Liverpool vs Fulham: Fulham +4.5 Goal Handicap (-3333)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As Liverpool prepares to host Fulham, the recent form suggests a compelling angle on the handicap market. Liverpool’s recent home record shows a shaky 1-3-1, indicating vulnerability at Anfield. Their average home scoring of just 1.8 goals, coupled with an opponent score of 1 per game, raises eyebrows. Conversely, Fulham has been struggling away, but they’ve faced tough opposition, showcasing grit despite a 1.4 average goals conceded on the road. With Liverpool's defense leaking goals and Fulham's potential to disrupt, the +4.5 handicap feels enticing. The implied probability leans heavily in Fulham’s favor, with Liverpool not exactly firing on all cylinders. In a match where Liverpool’s inconsistency comes into play, taking Fulham at +4.5 seems a savvy play, especially given their recent head-to-head record. This could easily be the upset that shakes the Premier League landscape.
That is how our model reads Liverpool v Fulham. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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