On Sunday 6 September 2026, Liverpool play Fulham in the EPL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Liverpool vs Fulham: Under 7.5 Total Goals, priced at -10000 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Liverpool vs Fulham: Under 7.5 Total Goals (-10000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As Liverpool prepares to host Fulham, the goal-scoring narratives suggest a low-scoring affair is on the horizon. Both teams are struggling to find the back of the net; Liverpool averages a mere 1.8 goals in their last five home games, while Fulham has been even more unproductive, registering just 0.2 goals in their away matches. Defensively, Liverpool has tightened up, conceding just one goal at home in that stretch, while Fulham's away form shows they are far from prolific, averaging 1.4 goals conceded. The Expected Goals (xG) stats mirror this trend, highlighting a lack of offensive potency. Given both teams' recent struggles and Liverpool’s historically tight contests against Fulham—where the last five meetings yielded just five total goals—the bet on under 7.5 total goals feels not only wise, but almost inevitable.
Liverpool vs Fulham: Fulham +5.5 Goal Handicap (-10000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As Liverpool welcomes Fulham, the recent form tells an intriguing story. Despite being at home, Liverpool's record shows a shaky 1-3-1 in their last five, with an average goal output of 1.8. It’s not just the results that raise eyebrows; their xG numbers suggest they're underperforming, failing to convert chances effectively. Fulham, while struggling away, has shown resilience. Their last five games have seen them concede an average of just 1.4 goals, indicating they can hold their ground. Considering Liverpool's inconsistent scoring and Fulham's ability to keep it tight, betting on Fulham +5.5 makes sense. With Liverpool's recent home struggles and Fulham's defensive grit, this handicap offers a cushion that feels more than achievable. Expect a tightly contested match where Fulham can comfortably navigate the challenge.
Liverpool vs Fulham: Fulham +4.5 Goal Handicap (-3333)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As Liverpool prepares to host Fulham, the pressure mounts on the Reds, who have struggled at home recently, recording just one win in their last five matches. Their average of 1.8 goals scored per game at Anfield doesn't inspire confidence, especially when facing a Fulham side that, despite its own troubles, has shown resilience, particularly in head-to-head encounters with Liverpool, boasting a balanced 2-2-1 record over the last five meetings. Fulham's away form has been less than stellar, but when looking at their scoring ability, they managed an average of 1.4 goals in their last five matches, which suggests a potential to keep it competitive. With Liverpool's defense conceding around 1.8 goals per game, betting on Fulham to cover a 4.5 handicap feels like a savvy move, especially given the current trajectory of both teams.
That is how our model reads Liverpool v Fulham. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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