On Saturday 19 September 2026, Everton play Ipswich Town in the EPL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 6.5 Total Goals, priced at -10000 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As Everton prepares to host Ipswich Town, the landscape suggests a tight contest, particularly in terms of goal-scoring. Everton's home form has seen them struggling to convert chances, averaging just 1 goal per game in their last five outings, while their defense has conceded an average of only 0.8 goals. Ipswich, despite showing promise away from home, is also not lighting up the scoreboard, averaging just 1.8 goals in their last five away games and facing similar difficulties in creating quality chances, with their expected goals (xG) numbers hovering near zero. Both teams’ recent trends point towards a defensive battle. With xG stats reflecting a lack of offensive firepower, and the implied probability of under 6.5 goals sitting at an impressive 95%, betting on a low-scoring affair seems prudent. Expect a tactical game where both sides prioritize defense over risk, making the under a compelling option.
Everton vs Ipswich Town: Everton +1.5 Goal Handicap (-2500)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As we look ahead to Saturday’s clash between Everton and Ipswich Town, the trends heavily favor the Toffees. Despite a rocky recent home form with just one win in five, Everton’s xG and shooting stats reveal a more favorable narrative. They've averaged 1.8 goals at home, and though they've conceded a couple, their ability to create chances remains evident with 13.6 shots per game. Ipswich, while showing resilience on their travels, has struggled against Everton historically, managing no wins in their last two encounters. With Everton's need to bounce back after recent slip-ups, they’ll be eager to assert dominance. Considering Everton’s attacking prowess and Ipswich’s defensive vulnerabilities, a handicap of 1.5 looks enticing. The home side has the potential to notch a couple of goals and secure a comfortable win. Expect the Toffees to deliver on this occasion.
Everton vs Ipswich Town: Over 5.5 Total Corners (-2000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As Everton prepares to host Ipswich Town, the stage is set for a corner count that could easily surpass the 5.5 mark. Both teams have been racking up the corners, with Everton averaging 2.4 corners at home in their last five matches and Ipswich similarly notching around 2.6 away. The Toffees, while struggling in the league, have been delivering a decent average of 1.8 goals at home, suggesting they’ll push forward aggressively, leading to more corner opportunities. Ipswich, on the other hand, has shown resilience with their away performances, scoring 1.8 goals and generating an average of 13.2 shots per game on the road. Given these attacking trends and the likelihood of a back-and-forth match, betting on over 5.5 corners seems not just prudent, but almost inevitable. Expect corners to pile up as both teams seek crucial points in this encounter.
That is how our model reads Everton v Ipswich Town. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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