On Wednesday 16 September 2026, Everton play Ipswich Town in the EPL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -417 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Everton hosts Ipswich, the stage is set for a thrilling encounter that could see goals flowing. Despite Everton's recent home struggles, they’ve averaged 1.8 goals in their last five at Goodison Park, while Ipswich comes off a strong away showing, netting 1.8 goals in their last five on the road. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to find the net, though they’ve also conceded frequently, with Everton allowing an average of 2 goals per game at home. Recent form is telling, especially with Ipswich’s resilience, bouncing back with a solid away record. The expected goals (xG) figures indicate that both teams are creating chances, making the 'Over 1.5' bet seem like a no-brainer. With the odds favoring this outcome at 77.6%, it feels like a safe wager in what promises to be an entertaining clash. Goals are in the air!
Everton vs Ipswich Town: Everton -0.25 Goal Handicap (-200)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Everton prepares to host Ipswich Town, the dynamics of their recent form suggest a prime opportunity for the Toffees to capitalize. While Everton has had a mixed bag at home lately, averaging just 1.8 goals per game, their defensive solidity shines through with opponents netting only 2 per game against them. Ipswich, despite a decent away record, has shown vulnerabilities, especially in their past encounters with Everton. The stats tell a story of missed chances, both teams struggling to convert expected goals into actual ones. However, Everton’s home advantage, coupled with their ability to create more shots—averaging 13.6 at home—could tilt the balance. With Ipswich coming off a tough stretch and a historical record that favors Everton, backing the Toffees at -0.25 offers a tempting edge, making it quite likely they’ll emerge victorious this Saturday.
Everton vs Ipswich Town: Everton Moneyline (-135)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Everton prepares to host Ipswich Town, recent form and head-to-head dynamics create a compelling narrative favoring the Toffees. Despite a shaky home record, Everton has been competitive, averaging 1.8 goals at home, although defensively they've conceded 2. Ipswich, riding a three-match unbeaten run, faces a tough task; they’ve struggled historically against Everton, losing their last meeting. With Everton generating a respectable average of 13.6 shots per game at home, they’re likely to capitalize on Ipswich’s defense, which has been leaky, allowing similar goal-scoring averages. The xG metrics reveal both teams have not been converting chances effectively, but Everton’s home advantage and familiar surroundings can tip the scales. With a model edge of almost 8%, backing Everton to secure a win looks promising, as they aim to turn their season around in front of their home crowd.
That is how our model reads Everton v Ipswich Town. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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