Leon Draisaitl (Edmonton Oilers) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+105)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Leon Draisaitl to score anytime in the match against the Dallas Stars is based on his recent performances and his L5 statistical averages. Specifically, over his last five home games, Draisaitl has averaged 0.8 goals per game and 3.4 shots, indicating a high level of offensive involvement. His L5 average for game-winning goals is also significant, at 0.6 per game. Furthermore, Draisaitl has a very high recent scoring rate, having hit the back of the net in 4 of his last 5 home games and in 8 of his last 9 overall. Based on these numbers, the model predicts a 0.57 probability of him scoring during the game, which is higher than the implied probability of 48.8% given by the bookmaker's odds. Hence, this suggests a good opportunity to bet on Draisaitl scoring anytime during the match.

Jake Oettinger (Dallas Stars) Under 27.5 Saves (+100)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The rationale behind the under bet for Jake Oettinger's total saves is based on recent performance data and statistical trends. Although Oettinger's average saves in the last five away games is 30.6, which is above the line set at 27.5, his overall average saves in the last five games, regardless of location, is noticeably lower at 26. This aligns closely with our model's prediction of 26.39. Additionally, his last five overall games have seen him face fewer shots on average (28.2) compared to away games (33.8). This suggests that the number of shots he faces, and subsequently the number of saves he makes, tends to decrease when we consider all games and not just away ones. Finally, Oettinger's away games current hit streak is 0, indicating a potentially weaker performance when playing away. These factors suggest a higher likelihood of him making fewer than 27.5 saves.

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