Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Nuggets gear up to host the Timberwolves, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but betting on him to grab over 13.5 rebounds might not be the best play. Despite his incredible talent, recent trends suggest a potential dip in his rebounding numbers. Over his last five games, Jokic has averaged 12.6 boards, and when it comes to facing Minnesota, his home average dips to 13.2. Moreover, Jokic's hit rate at home shows he's gone under this number in nearly 43% of his recent outings. The Timberwolves aren't pushovers on the boards either, which could further limit his chances. With an expected stat value of just 12.41 and a solid model edge backing this under, it might be wise to lean on Jokic to finish below that 13.5 mark. Sometimes, even the best have off nights, and this could be one of them.

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