On Monday 28 September 2026, Crystal Palace play Nottingham Forest in the EPL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Crystal Palace +0.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -222 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Crystal Palace gears up to host Nottingham Forest, recent form tells a compelling story. Palace has struggled at home, but a closer look reveals they’re averaging a respectable 1.2 goals per game even in their last five encounters. Meanwhile, Forest has had a rocky road, with an away record that’s shaky at best, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. Palace's defensive woes are offset by their attacking potential, and against a Nottingham side that’s averaging just 0.8 goals in their last five, you can sense the Eagles might just have the upper hand here. Not to mention, their recent history against Forest—although not favorable—could spark a much-needed turnaround at home. With Palace needing to reclaim some pride, betting on them to cover a 0.5 handicap looks like a savvy move in this matchup.
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Both Teams To Score: No (+100)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Crystal Palace prepares to host Nottingham Forest, the stats tell a compelling story that suggests a quiet encounter in front of goal. Palace has struggled at home recently, averaging just 1.2 goals while conceding a staggering 2.2. With their last five matches yielding no Expected Goals (xG), it’s clear their attack is sputtering. Nottingham, while slightly more productive away, has also faced difficulties, averaging only 0.8 goals in their last five. They’ve allowed 1.4 goals per game on the road but haven't been able to find the net against Palace consistently, losing four of their last five encounters. Given these trends, it’s reasonable to expect a match where both teams may struggle to score, making the 'No' on the Both Teams to Score market a tempting option. With both sides' recent form, a low-scoring affair seems likely.
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest +0.25 Goal Handicap (-169)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Crystal Palace prepares to host Nottingham Forest, the signs point towards an away advantage for Forest. Palace has struggled significantly at home, with just one win in their last five matches, and their defensive frailties are alarming—allowing an average of 2.2 goals per game at Selhurst Park. In stark contrast, Nottingham Forest's recent away form reveals a more promising narrative. They've averaged 2.8 goals scored in their last five away games, showcasing a potent attack. Not to mention, Forest’s historical dominance over Palace, winning four of their last five encounters, bolsters their confidence. With Palace’s dismal home expected goals (xG) average sitting at zero in recent outings, backing Nottingham Forest with a 0.25 handicap feels like a savvy play. Their attacking prowess combined with Palace's defensive woes makes this bet enticing as the teams clash on Sunday.
That is how our model reads Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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