On Sunday 27 September 2026, Crystal Palace play Nottingham Forest in the EPL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Crystal Palace +0.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -222 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Crystal Palace +0.5 Goal Handicap (-222)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Crystal Palace prepares to host Nottingham Forest, the trends lean in favor of the home side, despite their recent struggles. Palace’s last five matches at Selhurst Park have seen them average just 1.2 goals scored, but their opponents have consistently outperformed defensively, conceding 2.2 goals per game. However, Nottingham's away form is concerning, with only 0.8 goals scored in their last five outings, averaging 2.8 against. The head-to-head record also favors Forest, but Palace is under pressure to turn things around. They’ve shown glimpses of resilience, and with an edge in possession and shots taken, they can capitalize on Nottingham's defensive lapses. Betting on Palace to cover a -0.5 handicap holds promise as they aim to secure three vital points on home soil. Expect a narrow victory that reflects the tight competition of the Premier League.

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Both Teams To Score: No (+100)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

When Crystal Palace hosts Nottingham Forest, the trends suggest a low-scoring affair. Palace’s recent form at home shows they’ve averaged just 1.2 goals while conceding 2.2, painting a picture of defensive frailty. Their xG tally is alarmingly low, indicating an inability to create meaningful chances, and they haven't managed to score in their last three home games. On the flip side, Nottingham's away record includes an impressive 2.8 goals per match recently, but they also struggle to find the net against Palace, having lost four of their last five encounters. With Palace's defense likely to tighten up and Nottingham’s scoring prowess facing a historical roadblock, betting on “No” for both teams to score feels like a smart move. The numbers and recent head-to-head records align, suggesting a match with fewer goals on the horizon.

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest +0.25 Goal Handicap (-169)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Crystal Palace prepares to host Nottingham Forest, their recent form raises eyebrows. The Eagles have struggled at home, with a dismal 1-1-3 record over their last five, averaging just 1.2 goals while conceding 2.2. Contrast that with Forest’s away performance, where they've found their groove, scoring an impressive 2.8 goals per game in their last five away fixtures. Nottingham's attacking prowess and ability to create chances—reflected in their average of 12.2 shots away—suggest they’ll pose a significant threat. With Palace failing to win against them in their last five encounters, the trend leans towards Forest capitalizing on this opportunity. Betting on Nottingham Forest at +0.25 seems prudent as they look to extend their positive away run while exploiting Palace's home woes. Expect Forest to at least come away with a draw, making this handicap bet a savvy play.

That is how our model reads Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article