Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 18.5 Rebounds + Assists (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Hawks prepare to face the Memphis Grizzlies, Jalen Johnson's prop bet for Under 18.5 combined rebounds and assists stands out as a solid play. While he's shown flashes of potential, recent numbers tell a different story. Over his last five games, Johnson has averaged a robust 9.2 assists and 10 rebounds, but when facing Memphis at home, he's only managed 5.5 rebounds and 4 assists. This points to a significant drop in performance against a Grizzlies squad known for its defensive grit.Moreover, his track record at home reveals a hit rate of just 75% in his last eight outings, with only one game exceeding the target. Given his expected stat value of 14.22, it's clear that while he's capable, the matchup suggests a more subdued outing. With a 34.9% model edge favoring the Under, this bet aligns well with recent trends, making it a compelling choice for Monday night

Dyson Daniels (Atlanta Hawks) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Hawks gear up to face the Grizzlies, Dyson Daniels finds himself in a tough spot for our prop bet. While he's been solid lately, averaging about 7 rebounds and 3.6 assists over his last five outings, the matchup tells a different story. At home, Daniels has put up slightly better numbers-8.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists-but against Memphis, his averages dip to a mere 2.8 rebounds and 4.8 assists.The Grizzlies tend to stifle opposing playmakers, which could further limit Daniels' contributions. With a projected stat value of just 10.2, the under on 12.5 is looking very appealing. Given that he's only hit this mark 2 out of the last 3 games and his home performance against Memphis hasn't been stellar, it feels safe to bank on him staying under this total. It's a calculated bet based on historical performance and matchup dynamics.

Olivier-Maxence Prosper (Memphis Grizzlies) Under 5.5 Rebounds (+118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Olivier-Maxence Prosper's rebounding numbers suggest a compelling case for the Under 5.5 in his matchup against the Atlanta Hawks. Traveling with the Memphis Grizzlies, Prosper has averaged just 4.2 boards on the road in his last five games, a figure that falls short of tonight's mark. When facing the Hawks, he's managed only 1 rebound per game over his last five encounters, a stark contrast to what's needed here.Digging deeper, his overall rebounding rate has dipped significantly, hitting the Under in 13 of his last 19 games. With Prosper's current form and the pressure of playing in a hostile environment, it's tough to imagine him suddenly breaking out against a Hawks team that boxes out well. At an expected value of just 4.67, the odds favor a quiet night on the boards for Prosper.

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