Olivier-Maxence Prosper (Memphis Grizzlies) Under 5.5 Rebounds (+118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Olivier-Maxence Prosper prepares to face the Atlanta Hawks, the task of snagging rebounds against them seems daunting. Historically, he's averaging a mere 3.8 boards in his last five games, and his away performance is only marginally better at 4.2. The matchup against the Hawks adds another layer of difficulty; he's managed just 0.5 rebounds per game against them in his last five encounters, and even on the road, that climbs to just one.With a hit rate of only 13 out of 19 for this under bet and a compelling 16 out of 20 when playing away, the signs are clear: Prosper is unlikely to eclipse that 5.5 mark. Given an expected stat value of 4.67, it's safe to say that targeting the under is a savvy play. As the Grizzlies look to tighten their defensive ship, Prosper could find himself boxed out far more often than not.

Olivier-Maxence Prosper (Memphis Grizzlies) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the matchup between the Atlanta Hawks and the Memphis Grizzlies, targeting Olivier-Maxence Prosper for under 1.5 threes made feels like a savvy move. Despite averaging 1.6 threes on the road lately, he struggles in this specific matchup, having failed to sink a single three against Memphis in their last few encounters. With the Grizzlies' defense tightening up, it's clear that the odds aren't favorable for Prosper to find his rhythm from beyond the arc.Moreover, his recent form shows he's been hitting just 1.8 threes overall in the last five games, but when away, he dips to 1.6. With an impressive 75% success rate on the under in his last four games, it's hard to ignore the trend. Given the context and the implied probability of 55.6%, betting on Prosper to stay under 1.5 threes seems like a calculated risk worth taking.

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Hawks get set to host the Grizzlies, Jalen Johnson is in a prime position to come in under the 10.5 rebounds mark. While he's been solid recently, averaging 10 rebounds over his last five games, that figure is buoyed by some favorable matchups. Against Memphis, he's pulled down only 5.5 rebounds at home in their last few encounters, which suggests he struggles against their frontcourt. The numbers don't lie; in his last ten games, he's hit the under on this prop in 8 of them. With the Grizzlies ranked among the tougher teams defensively on the glass, I see Johnson finding it hard to reach double digits tonight. Considering all of this, the under seems like a smart play as he contends with a gritty Memphis team.

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