Garrett Crochet (BOS) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Garrett Crochet's recent performance data suggests that the Over 2.5 Hits Allowed bet is a promising choice. Over his last five games, Crochet has averaged 3.8 hits allowed overall, and 3 hits allowed both away and against the Braves specifically. These averages exceed the line of 2.5, indicating a trend of allowing more than 2.5 hits per game. His innings pitched averages also suggest he's likely to be on the mound for a substantial amount of time, increasing the probability of allowing more hits. While his current away hit streak is zero, his overall current hit streak is one, suggesting he's likely to allow hits in the upcoming game. Given these patterns, betting on Garrett Crochet to allow over 2.5 hits seems statistically sound.

Bryce Elder (ATL) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Bryce Elder for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a strong choice given his recent performances. Over his last five games, Elder has allowed an average of 6.2 hits per game overall, and 7 hits per game at home. He has also struggled to pitch deep into games, averaging just 4.9 innings overall and 4.3 at home. This suggests he's allowing hits at a high rate per inning. Furthermore, Elder is on a significant hit streak, having allowed at least one hit in his last 19 games overall and 20 home games. Given these trends, it's highly probable that Elder will allow more than 2.5 hits in his upcoming game against the Red Sox.

Garrett Crochet (BOS) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Garrett Crochet for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a good choice considering his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Crochet has averaged 2 walks per game overall, with an average of 1 walk per game both away and against the Braves. Despite pitching fewer innings away from home (5.6) compared to overall (6.3) and against the Braves (7), these averages suggest that it's highly likely he will allow at least one walk in the upcoming game. His current hit streaks of 6 overall and 4 away also indicate a continued pattern of allowing hits, which correlates with opportunities for walks. This data-driven analysis supports the high implied probability of 84.0% for this bet.

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