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The latest Bet Better model pick for Garrett Crochet is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 79%, versus the book's implied 77%, for a model edge of +1.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
MLB

Garrett Crochet

BOS

+1.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Over 0.5 -333 (1.30)
+1.7% Edge
Boston Red Sox @ Oakland Athletics
RingCentral Coliseum, Oakland, California · Outdoor
Tue 9 Sep, 2:05AM
OUT
Red Sox interim manager Chad Tracy said Thursday that Crochet (shoulder/lat) has yet to resume a formal throwing program and is limited to playing catch with weighted plyometric balls, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
updated Jul 13, 3:14PM UTC · 7d old
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Model Probability
78.6%
Implied Probability
76.9%
Model Edge
+1.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks78.6%—76.9%1.27+1.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Garrett Crochet (BOS) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Garrett Crochet for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a good choice due to his recent performance data. In the last five games overall, Crochet has averaged 2 walks allowed per game, and even when playing away, his average walks allowed is 1. This suggests a consistent pattern of allowing at least one walk per game. Although he has not allowed any walks against the Oakland Athletics in the last five games, his current hit streak of 6 games overall and 4 games away indicates that batters are connecting with his pitches. This could increase the likelihood of him allowing a walk, particularly if he's aiming to avoid hits. Therefore, the data supports the likelihood of Crochet allowing over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
Streak4L2060%
O 4.570%
O 5.560%
O 6.550%
O 7.540%
O 8.510%
O 9.510%
O 10.510%

Garrett Crochet MLB strikeouts: cleared over 4.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
L2075%
O 2.580%
O 3.560%
O 4.530%

Garrett Crochet MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
Streak6L2060%
O 0.570%
O 1.530%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%

Garrett Crochet MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.8avg earned runs · L5

Garrett Crochet MLB earned runs: averaging 0.8 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
19.2avg outs · L5
Streak2

Garrett Crochet MLB outs: averaging 19.2 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Garrett Crochet (BOS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Garrett Crochet is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.7% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics on Tuesday 9 September at RingCentral Coliseum, Oakland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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