Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bryce Elder is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 79%, versus the book's implied 57%, for a model edge of +22.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:04PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks
Under 1.5
-132 (1.76) · $100→$176
+22.1% Edge
New York Mets
@
Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Mon 10 Aug, 11:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 559 of 1,032 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs NYM @ ATL
updated Aug 10, 11:15PM UTC
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Implied Probability
56.8%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Walks | 78.9% | — | 56.8% | 1.27 | +22.1% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 3/3 |
| Last 5 games | 4/5 |
| Last 10 games | 9/10 |
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Bryce Elder (ATL) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-132)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Atlanta Braves play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Bryce Elder (ATL) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-132). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -132 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.58 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Recent form (last 5 games)
Bryce Elder is averaging 6.2 hits, 1.4 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.
Hit-rate ladder: H
Bryce Elder has gone over 2.5 H in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o2.5100%
o3.590%
o4.570%
o5.560%
o6.550%
o7.540%
o8.520%
Home / away and opponent splits
Bryce Elder is averaging 6.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.0 in away games.
Bryce Elder (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bryce Elder is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.1% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves on Monday 10 August at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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