Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Sonsie is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +1.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
AFL

Tyler Sonsie

Richmond

+1.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -250 (1.40)
+1.4% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers
Ninja Stadium, Hobart, TAS · Outdoor
Sun 14 Jun, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL and NFL only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
72.9%
Implied Probability
71.4%
Model Edge
+1.4%
Predicted Value
16.5 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.9%—71.4%1.37+1.4%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Tyler Sonsie (Richmond) Over 13.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Tyler Sonsie. The young gun has been lighting up the home field lately, racking up an average of 18.8 disposals over the last five games for the Tigers. With a solid contested possessions average of 6.2 and an impressive disposal efficiency of 76.9%, Sonsie has been a midfield maestro. Facing off against the Lions, who he's already been snagging an average of 16 disposals against, Sonsie is poised to dominate the possession game once again. His recent form, including a streak of hitting the over in his last three home and overall games, suggests he's in fine touch. So, when Sonsie hits the field at Ninja Stadium, expect him to split the middle on the disposals line with ease.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
11.8avg disposals recent
Season best19
Disposals last 10avg 11.8 · hi 18 · lo 3
181212121113161833

Tyler Sonsie has a disposals high of 19 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 13.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Tyler Sonsie (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Sonsie is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.4% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers on Sunday 14 June at Ninja Stadium, Hobart. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks