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AFL

Tyler Sonsie

Richmond

+5.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -455 (1.22)
+5.4% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 21 Mar, 2:15AM
Model Probability
87.4%
Implied Probability
82.0%
Model Edge
+5.4%
Predicted Value
16.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Tyler Sonsie (Richmond) Over 10.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Tyler Sonsie, the young gun for the Richmond Tigers, has been setting the field alight lately. With an average of 19 disposals over his last five home games, Sonsie is a midfield maestro whose impact is undeniable. His impressive 82% implied probability to exceed 10.5 disposals against the Gold Coast Suns is backed by his stellar recent form. Averaging almost 10 kicks and nearly 10 handballs per game at the MCG, Sonsie's ability to find space, create opportunities, and rack up possessions makes him a standout pick for this prop bet. With a current hit streak of 4 at home and 9 overall, Sonsie is a safe bet to continue his dominance in this crucial clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 85.7% (6/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 10.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 13.5 Over -149 ✗ MISS
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 9.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tyler Sonsie (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 85.7% (6/7). The latest model pick for Tyler Sonsie is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.4% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Richmond Tigers on Saturday 21 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.