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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Sonsie is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +1.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 10:09PM UTC
AFL

Tyler Sonsie

Richmond

+1.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -250 (1.40) · $100→$140
+1.4% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers
Ninja Stadium, Hobart, TAS · Outdoor
Sun 14 Jun, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: sunny, 17°C (Apr 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
72.9%
Implied Probability
71.4%
Model Edge
+1.4%
Predicted Value
16.5 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.9%71.4%1.37+1.4%

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AI Analysis

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Tyler Sonsie (Richmond) Over 13.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Tyler Sonsie. The young gun has been lighting up the home field lately, racking up an average of 18.8 disposals over the last five games for the Tigers. With a solid contested possessions average of 6.2 and an impressive disposal efficiency of 76.9%, Sonsie has been a midfield maestro. Facing off against the Lions, who he's already been snagging an average of 16 disposals against, Sonsie is poised to dominate the possession game once again. His recent form, including a streak of hitting the over in his last three home and overall games, suggests he's in fine touch. So, when Sonsie hits the field at Ninja Stadium, expect him to split the middle on the disposals line with ease.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Tyler Sonsie averaged 11.7 disposals, 0.3 goals and 2.7 marks per game across 14 games in 2024.

11.7
Disposals
0.3
Goals
2.7
Marks
1.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (20 Jul 24 vs Port Adelaide), Tyler Sonsie recorded 3 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
20 Jul 24Port Adelaide3001
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS3021
6 Jul 24Fremantle18013
30 Jun 24Carlton16140
15 Jun 24Hawthorn13052
6 Jun 24Adelaide Crows11041
1 Jun 24Geelong Cats12011
25 May 24Essendon12020
18 May 24Brisbane Lions12030
11 May 24Western Bulldogs18045
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 13.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Tyler Sonsie (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Sonsie is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.4% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers on Sunday 14 June at Ninja Stadium, Hobart. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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