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AFL

Ty Gallop

Brisbane Lions

Value call

Ty Gallop (Brisbane Lions) has one live pick today: over 3.5 marks that pays $130 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
65 in 100
Predicted
5.4 marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 65.2% · before adjusting for past results 77.9% · the book's price implies 76.9% · gap -11.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
Ty Gallop
over 3.5 marks
Marks Over 3.5 -333 (1.30) · $100→$130
Value call
HIGHWins about 65 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.00 Odds-333
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ty Gallop is Over 3.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 65 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 65%, the price says 77%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:03PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks77.9%65.2%76.9%1.53+1.0%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Ty Gallop Over 3.5 Marks (-345)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Ty Gallop of the Brisbane Lions is up against the Adelaide Crows, and there's a good chance he'll shine in this game. Our numbers suggest he's likely to grab over 3.5 marks, which is a solid target considering he typically gets more than double that amount. He's been performing really well, showing he can get the ball and make an impact. The biggest risk is that the Crows might put pressure on him, which could limit his chances. However, with his strong form, he should still be able to reach that 3.5 mark. It looks promising for this bet at the Gabba, so let's see how he does.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Ty Gallop has cleared 9.5 disposals in 60% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.560%
o10.540%
o11.530%
o12.530%
o13.530%

Home / away and opponent splits

Ty Gallop is averaging 10.2 disposals per game over his last 5.

10.2
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Marks 3.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Ty Gallop (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ty Gallop is Over 3.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.0% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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