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AFL

Darcy Wilmot

Brisbane Lions

+4.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -769 (1.13)
+4.2% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Barossa Park, Lyndoch
Sat 11 Apr, 2:35AM
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
92.7%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+4.2%
Predicted Value
22.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Darcy Wilmot (Brisbane Lions) Over 15.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Darcy Wilmot to go over 15.5 disposals in the upcoming clash against North Melbourne, the numbers paint a compelling picture. In his last five away games, Wilmot has been a midfield workhorse, averaging a solid 21 disposals, showcasing his ability to find the footy consistently. With an impressive disposalefficiency of 71.1% and a knack for gaining significant metres (334.8 avg), Wilmot is a key cog in Brisbane's midfield machine. Against North Melbourne specifically, he's been even more prolific, averaging 20 disposals in their past encounters. Wilmot's recent form, coupled with his reliable ball-winning capabilities, make the Over 15.5 disposals a smart bet to snag in this matchup at Barossa Park.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 16.7% (1/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 15.5 Over -769 ✗ MISS
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 16.5 Over -500 ✗ MISS
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 17.5 Over -333 ✗ MISS
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending
07 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Darcy Wilmot (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 16.7% (1/6). The latest model pick for Darcy Wilmot is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.2% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Saturday 11 April at Barossa Park, Lyndoch. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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