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AFL

Tom Brown

Richmond

+7.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -435 (1.23)
+7.6% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers
Ninja Stadium, Hobart
Sun 14 Jun, 3:10AM
Model Probability
88.9%
Implied Probability
81.3%
Model Edge
+7.6%
Predicted Value
16.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Tom Brown (Richmond) Over 10.5 Disposals (-435)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

As we gear up for the clash between the Richmond Tigers and the Brisbane Lions at Ninja Stadium, all eyes are on the dynamic midfielder, Tom Brown. In his last five home games, Brown has been a beacon of consistency, averaging a solid 12.4 disposals per match. His ability to find space and distribute the ball effectively is underscored by his impressive 78.9% disposal efficiency. Facing the Lions, a team against whom he averages 13.5 disposals in their previous encounters, Brown is poised to shine once again. With his current form showing a hit streak of 7 games at home, it's hard to ignore his impact on the field. Backed by a model prediction of 16.6 disposals and a 7.6% edge, taking Brown to surpass 10.5 disposals seems like a safe bet for this showdown in Hobart.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tom Brown (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tom Brown is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.6% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers on Sunday 14 June at Ninja Stadium, Hobart. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.