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Toby Nankervis

Richmond

+1.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -667 (1.15)
+1.0% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 21 Mar, 2:15AM
Model Probability
87.9%
Implied Probability
87.0%
Model Edge
+1.0%
Predicted Value
16.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Toby Nankervis (Richmond) Over 10.5 Disposals (-667)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to solid midfield performances, Toby Nankervis is the man to watch. With a recent streak of 5 games hitting his disposal mark at home, he's been a consistent force on the field. Averaging 16.4 disposals in his last 5 home games, his ability to find the ball is undeniable. Facing off against the Gold Coast Suns, a team he's historically performed well against with an average of 12.5 disposals in their last 5 encounters, Nankervis is poised to dominate once again. With an overall disposal average matching his model prediction of 16.4, his form is red hot. Backed by a stunning 10-game hit streak overall, Nankervis is a reliable bet to deliver over 10.5 disposals in this clash at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 57.1% (4/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 10.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 11.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 12.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Toby Nankervis (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 57.1% (4/7). The latest model pick for Toby Nankervis is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.0% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Richmond Tigers on Saturday 21 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.