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AFL

Toby Nankervis

Richmond

+2.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -222 (1.45)
+2.6% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Thu 12 Mar, 8:30AM
Model Probability
71.6%
Implied Probability
69.0%
Model Edge
+2.6%
Predicted Value
16.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Toby Nankervis (Richmond) Over 13.5 Disposals (-222)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When looking at Toby Nankervis' recent form, it's clear he's been a force to be reckoned with in the disposals department. Averaging a solid 15.2 disposals in his last five away games, Nankervis has shown his ability to find the footy consistently. Facing Carlton, against whom he averages 16 disposals in their last five encounters, Nankervis seems poised to thrive. With a current hit streak of 3 disposals over this line and an impressive 7 out of 9 hit rate in away games, the odds are in his favor. His knack for contested possessions and intercepts further solidifies his potential to surpass the 13.5 disposals line. Nankervis is a reliable bet to snag plenty of possessions and help punters bag a win in the 'Player Disposals Over' market.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 25.0% (1/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Disposals 13.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 16.5 Under -112 ✗ MISS
05 Jul 25 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 15.5 Under -109 ✗ MISS
05 Jul 25 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending

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