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AFL

Steely Green

Richmond

+13.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 +112 (2.12)
+13.2% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 27 Jul, 4:10AM
Model Probability
60.3%
Implied Probability
47.2%
Model Edge
+13.2%
Predicted Value
0.7 Goals

AI Analysis

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Steely Green (Richmond) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (+112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Steely Green has been knocking on the door with an average of 0.6 goals per game in his last five matches, despite a slight dip in goal accuracy. His involvement in creating scoring opportunities is evident with 1.8 score involvements per game. Facing Collingwood, against whom he averages 0 goals, may not seem promising; however, his recent form suggests he's due for a breakthrough. With an average of 0.6 shots on goal and the model predicting him to score 0.7 times, there's a 13.2% edge favoring him to snag a goal. Playing at home in Melbourne, where he's comfortable, enhances his chances to split the middle, making him an enticing pick to score anytime.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 0.0% (0/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over +112 ✗ MISS
29 Jun 25 Adelaide Crows @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over +105 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Steely Green (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 0.0% (0/2). The latest model pick for Steely Green is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.2% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers on Sunday 27 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.