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AFL

Steely Green

Richmond

+13.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 +112 (2.12)
+13.2% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 27 Jul, 4:10AM
Model Probability
60.3%
Implied Probability
47.2%
Model Edge
+13.2%
Predicted Value
0.7 Goals

AI Analysis

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Steely Green (Richmond) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (+112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Steely Green has been knocking on the door with an average of 0.6 goals per game in his last five matches, despite a slight dip in goal accuracy. His involvement in creating scoring opportunities is evident with 1.8 score involvements per game. Facing Collingwood, against whom he averages 0 goals, may not seem promising; however, his recent form suggests he's due for a breakthrough. With an average of 0.6 shots on goal and the model predicting him to score 0.7 times, there's a 13.2% edge favoring him to snag a goal. Playing at home in Melbourne, where he's comfortable, enhances his chances to split the middle, making him an enticing pick to score anytime.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (14 picks) 50.0% (7/14)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over +112 ✗ MISS
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over +112 ✓ HIT
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over +112 ✗ MISS
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals Pending
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals Pending
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals Pending

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