Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Steele Sidebottom is Under 21.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 59%, versus the book's implied 54%, for a model edge of +4.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 12, 1:32AM UTC
AFL

Steele Sidebottom

Collingwood

+4.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 21.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
+4.6% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 27 Jul, 4:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
58.6%
Implied Probability
54.1%
Model Edge
+4.6%
Predicted Value
20.4 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals58.6%—54.1%1.71+4.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Steele Sidebottom (Collingwood) Under 21.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Steele Sidebottom's recent away performances, averaging 18.6 disposals, indicate he often falls below the 21.5 line. His L5 stats against Collingwood and overall show consistency around this mark. With a model predicting him at 20.4 disposals and a 4.6% edge, the data suggests he's likely to stay under 21.5. His current hit streak of 4 and solid away hit rate of 13/18 further support this bet. Considering his trends and opponent matchup, backing Sidebottom to stay under 21.5 disposals against Richmond seems a statistically sound choice for this AFL player prop bet.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Steele Sidebottom averaged 18.3 disposals, 0.2 goals and 4.1 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

18.3
Disposals
0.2
Goals
4.1
Marks
3.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), Steele Sidebottom recorded 22 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Melbourne22145
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions26058
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans21063
3 Aug 24Carlton11023
28 Jul 24Richmond12034
20 Jul 24Hawthorn14243
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats28132
5 Jul 24Essendon340112
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS16024
16 Jun 24North Melbourne23006
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Steele Sidebottom (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Steele Sidebottom is Under 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.6% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers on Sunday 27 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.