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AFL

Steele Sidebottom

Collingwood

+4.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 21.5 -118 (1.85)
+4.6% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 27 Jul, 4:10AM
Model Probability
58.6%
Implied Probability
54.1%
Model Edge
+4.6%
Predicted Value
20.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Steele Sidebottom (Collingwood) Under 21.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Steele Sidebottom's recent away performances, averaging 18.6 disposals, indicate he often falls below the 21.5 line. His L5 stats against Collingwood and overall show consistency around this mark. With a model predicting him at 20.4 disposals and a 4.6% edge, the data suggests he's likely to stay under 21.5. His current hit streak of 4 and solid away hit rate of 13/18 further support this bet. Considering his trends and opponent matchup, backing Sidebottom to stay under 21.5 disposals against Richmond seems a statistically sound choice for this AFL player prop bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (30 picks) 46.7% (14/30)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 21.5 Under -118 ✗ MISS
11 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 19.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
11 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 19.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
11 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals Pending
11 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals Pending
11 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals Pending

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