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The latest Bet Better model pick for Steele Sidebottom is Under 21.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 59%, versus the book's implied 54%, for a model edge of +4.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
AFL

Steele Sidebottom

Collingwood

+4.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 21.5 -118 (1.85)
+4.6% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 27 Jul, 4:10AM
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Model Probability
58.6%
Implied Probability
54.1%
Model Edge
+4.6%
Predicted Value
20.4 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals58.6%—54.1%1.71+4.6%

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AI Analysis

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Steele Sidebottom (Collingwood) Under 21.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Steele Sidebottom's recent away performances, averaging 18.6 disposals, indicate he often falls below the 21.5 line. His L5 stats against Collingwood and overall show consistency around this mark. With a model predicting him at 20.4 disposals and a 4.6% edge, the data suggests he's likely to stay under 21.5. His current hit streak of 4 and solid away hit rate of 13/18 further support this bet. Considering his trends and opponent matchup, backing Sidebottom to stay under 21.5 disposals against Richmond seems a statistically sound choice for this AFL player prop bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
20.7avg disposals recent
Season best34
Disposals last 10avg 20.7 · hi 34 · lo 11
23163428141211212622

Steele Sidebottom has a disposals high of 34 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Steele Sidebottom (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Steele Sidebottom is Under 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.6% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers on Sunday 27 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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