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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Steele Sidebottom is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 63%, implied 71%, edge +4.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:11AM UTC
AFL

Steele Sidebottom

Collingwood

+4.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 2.5 -250 (1.40) · $100→$140
+4.4% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
4.2 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.8% · the book's price implies 71.4% · gap +4.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks75.8%63.5%71.4%1.58+4.4%

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AI Analysis

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Steele Sidebottom (Collingwood) Over 2.5 player_marks_over (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable hands in the air, Steele Sidebottom of the Collingwood Magpies stands tall. Heading into the clash against the Western Bulldogs at the iconic MCG, Sidebottom's recent form suggests he's ready to make his mark – literally. Over his last five away games, he's been averaging a solid 2.4 marks, with a promising 2.5 marks per game specifically against the Bulldogs. His ability to read the play and take crucial contested marks could prove pivotal in this matchup. Considering his consistency in finding space inside 50, currently averaging 0.2 marks inside this key zone per game on the road, it's evident that Sidebottom knows how to position himself effectively to impact the game. With the line set at 2.5 marks, there's a strong chance he'll exceed this mark, especially given his recent performances and familiarity with facing the Bulldogs. Betting on Sidebottom to snag over 2.5 marks feels like a smart play for punters looking to capitalize on his aerial prowess.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Steele Sidebottom averaged 18.3 disposals, 0.2 goals and 4.1 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

18.3
Disposals
0.2
Goals
4.1
Marks
3.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), Steele Sidebottom recorded 22 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Melbourne22145
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions26058
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans21063
3 Aug 24Carlton11023
28 Jul 24Richmond12034
20 Jul 24Hawthorn14243
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats28132
5 Jul 24Essendon340112
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS16024
16 Jun 24North Melbourne23006
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Marks 2.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Steele Sidebottom (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Steele Sidebottom is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.4% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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