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AFL

Sam Lalor

Richmond

+9.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -156 (1.64)
+9.3% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Thu 12 Mar, 8:30AM
Model Probability
70.3%
Implied Probability
61.0%
Model Edge
+9.3%
Predicted Value
0.9 Goals

AI Analysis

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Sam Lalor (Richmond) Over 0.5 Goals (-156)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal in the upcoming clash between Carlton and Richmond, Sam Lalor stands out as a prime candidate to light up the scoreboard. Despite a slightly modest average of 0.6 goals in his last five away games, Lalor has been a key figure in the Tigers' attacking play, consistently getting his shots on goal and being involved in the scoring action with an average of 2.6 score involvements in those matches. Facing Carlton, a team he's averaged 2 goals against in his last five matchups, Lalor's goal-scoring prowess is poised to shine through. While his goal accuracy may hover around 40%, the sheer volume of shots he generates, coupled with his ability to impact the game inside 50, suggests he's primed to split the middle at least once. Betting on Lalor to go Over 0.5 goals feels like a smart play given his historical performance and current form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 75.0% (6/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -156 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -156 ✗ MISS
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -156 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Goals Pending
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Goals Pending
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Goals Pending

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