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AFL

Sam Grlj

Richmond

+0.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -333 (1.30)
+0.9% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers
Ninja Stadium, Hobart
Sun 14 Jun, 3:10AM
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Model Probability
77.8%
Implied Probability
76.9%
Model Edge
+0.9%
Predicted Value
16.3 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Sam Grlj (Richmond) Over 12.5 Disposals (-333)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Sam Grlj, the midfield maestro for the Richmond Tigers, is primed to dominate the disposal count against the Brisbane Lions at Ninja Stadium. Over his last five home games, Grlj has been a ball magnet, averaging a stellar 16.5 disposals per game. His ability to find space and move the ball efficiently is reflected in his impressive 73.8% disposal efficiency during this stretch. With a knack for racking up kicks (9 per game) and contributing significantly in contested situations (3.5 contested possessions on average), Grlj is poised to surpass the 12.5 disposal line set by the bookies. His recent form, combined with a high hit rate in home games and an overall hit streak of three, make him a solid bet to snag those crucial touches and drive the Tigers to victory.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 100.0% (2/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 12.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 13.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Sam Grlj (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (2/2). The latest model pick for Sam Grlj is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers on Sunday 14 June at Ninja Stadium, Hobart. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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