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AFL

Sam Draper

Brisbane Lions

+19.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -149 (1.67)
+19.8% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Barossa Park, Lyndoch
Sat 11 Apr, 2:35AM
Model Probability
79.7%
Implied Probability
59.9%
Model Edge
+19.8%
Predicted Value
1.1 Goals

AI Analysis

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Sam Draper (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Goals (-149)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Sam Draper is the man to watch in the upcoming clash between the Brisbane Lions and the North Melbourne Kangaroos. Despite averaging 0.4 goals in his last five away games, his recent form suggests he's due for a breakout. With an average of 1.8 shots at goal and 4.4 score involvements per game, Draper is a constant threat in the forward line. Facing North Melbourne, a team against whom he averages 0.3 goals in his last five outings, presents a prime opportunity for him to capitalize. Given his recent form and the statistical edge pointing towards him hitting the back of the net, betting on Draper to score over 0.5 goals is a smart move for footy punters looking to cash in on his goal-scoring potential.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 100.0% (3/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 0.5 Over -149 ✓ HIT
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Goals 0.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Sam Draper (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (3/3). The latest model pick for Sam Draper is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Saturday 11 April at Barossa Park, Lyndoch. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.