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AFL

Sam Day

Brisbane Lions

+14.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -185 (1.54)
+14.2% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Sat 5 Jul, 9:35AM
Model Probability
79.1%
Implied Probability
64.9%
Model Edge
+14.2%
Predicted Value
1.1 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Sam Day (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-185)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

In the upcoming AFL clash at the Gabba, Brisbane Lions' Sam Day is poised to be a key player to watch against Port Adelaide Power. Bettors looking at the 'player_goal_scorer_anytime' market will find enticing prospects with Day’s line set at 0.5 goals, with favorable odds of 1.54 (-185.19 in American odds). This indicates a strong likelihood of Day finding the back of the net at least once during the match. Given his recent form and performance consistency, punters are considering this a value bet. Over his last five games, Day has consistently contributed to Brisbane’s attacking prowess. Operating at his home venue, the Gabba, adds an additional layer of comfort and confidence to his performance. The Lions have been formidable on their turf, making it an advantageous setting for Day to continue his goal-scoring streak. With Port Adelaide’s defense facing challenges in recent outings, particularly away from home, Day's chances of scoring are amplified. This matchup presents a promising opportunity for AFL bettors to capitalize on Day’s goal-scoring capability, especially considering the favorable odds and his current form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (29 picks) 69.0% (20/29)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -185 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -185 ✗ MISS
05 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -185 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Brisbane Lions Goals Pending
05 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Brisbane Lions Goals Pending
05 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Brisbane Lions Goals Pending

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