Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
AFL

Patrick Retschko

Richmond

Value call

Patrick Retschko (Richmond) has one live pick today: over 14.5 disposals that pays $134 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
17.9 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 75.3% · the book's price implies 74.6% · gap +0.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Hawthorn Hawks @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 19 Jul, 1:10 PM AEST
Patrick Retschko
over 14.5 disposals
Disposals Over 14.5 -294 (1.34) · $100→$134
Value call
HIGHWins about 75 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.40 Odds-294
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Patrick Retschko is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 75%, the price says 75%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:00PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.3%—74.6%1.33+0.7%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Patrick Retschko (Richmond) Over 14.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking into the upcoming clash between the Richmond Tigers and the Hawthorn Hawks at the iconic MCG, all eyes are on Patrick Retschko to shine on his home turf. Retschko has been a standout performer recently, averaging a solid 19.2 disposals per game over his last 5 home matches. His ability to find the footy is undeniable, with an impressive average of 11 kicks and 8.2 handballs in those games. Moreover, Retschko's consistency is evident with a current hit streak of 2 at home and an overall hit streak of 3. With his knack for contested possessions and efficient disposal, hitting the Over 14.5 disposals mark seems like a safe bet. The stats paint a picture of a player in form, ready to make an impact and rack up the possessions. Expect Retschko to be in the thick of the action, driving the Tigers forward and surpassing the set line.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Patrick Retschko - AFL Disposals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Jul 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 14.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Patrick Retschko (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Patrick Retschko is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.7% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Richmond Tigers on Sunday 19 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.