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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Oscar Allen is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 87 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 87%, implied 83%, edge +3.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 20, 7:41AM UTC
AFL

Oscar Allen

Brisbane Lions

+3.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -500 (1.20) · $100→$120
+3.7% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Fri 7 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
87 in 100
Predicted
1.4 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 87.1% · the book's price implies 83.3% · gap +3.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals87.1%—83.3%1.15+3.7%

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AI Analysis

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Oscar Allen (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Goals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at the upcoming clash between the Brisbane Lions and the Hawthorn Hawks at the Gabba, one player stands out as a prime target for goal scoring opportunities – Oscar Allen. The young gun has been on fire recently, bagging an impressive average of 1.8 goals over the last five games, with a solid 54.0% goal accuracy. In his last five home games, Allen has been even more lethal, averaging 1.8 goals per game. With a current hit streak of 3 at home and a perfect 8/8 hit rate overall, Allen's form is red hot. Against a Hawthorn side where he has historically found the back of the net, Allen is in a prime position to snag at least one goal in this upcoming fixture. Bet on Allen to split the middle and go Over 0.5 goals in this highly anticipated showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Oscar Allen averaged 9.5 disposals, 1.8 goals and 4.7 marks per game across 11 games in 2024.

9.5
Disposals
1.8
Goals
4.7
Marks
1.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Geelong Cats), Oscar Allen recorded 4 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Geelong Cats4131
18 Aug 24Carlton9020
10 Aug 24North Melbourne14551
2 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS15253
27 Jul 24Fremantle7123
20 Jul 24St Kilda11260
14 Jul 24Brisbane Lions7341
7 Jul 24Melbourne10461
30 Jun 24Hawthorn6061
23 Jun 24Essendon13291
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Oscar Allen (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oscar Allen is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.7% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions on Friday 7 August at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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