Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Oscar Allen is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 61%, edge +11.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 4:40AM UTC
AFL
Oscar Allen
Brisbane Lions
Latest Model Pick
Marks
Over 2.5
-159 (1.63) · $100→$163
+11.0% Edge
Adelaide Crows
@
Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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How often this wins
72 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 72.3% · the book's price implies 61.3% · gap +11.0%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Marks | 72.3% | — | 61.3% | 1.38 | +11.0% |
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Oscar Allen (Brisbane Lions) Over 2.5 player_marks_over (-159)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Brisbane Lions play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Oscar Allen (Brisbane Lions) Over 2.5 player_marks_over. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Oscar Allen's lines for Sat 12 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Marks 2.5
Oscar Allen's marks line is 2.5.
Marks 1.5
Oscar Allen's marks line is 1.5.
Season averages (2024)
Oscar Allen averaged 9.5 disposals, 1.8 goals and 4.7 marks per game across 11 games in 2024.
Hit-rate ladder: Disposals
Oscar Allen has cleared 9.5 disposals in 20% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.
o9.520%
o10.510%
o11.520%
o12.520%
o13.50%
o14.50%
o15.50%
o16.50%
o17.50%
o18.50%
Home / away and opponent splits
Oscar Allen is averaging 6.8 disposals per game over his last 5.
Recent game log
In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Geelong Cats), Oscar Allen recorded 4 disposals and 1 goals.
| Date | Opp | Disp | Goals | Marks | Tackles |
|---|
| 24 Aug 24 | Geelong Cats | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 Aug 24 | Carlton | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug 24 | North Melbourne | 14 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| 2 Aug 24 | Gold Coast SUNS | 15 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 27 Jul 24 | Fremantle | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 20 Jul 24 | St Kilda | 11 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul 24 | Brisbane Lions | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 7 Jul 24 | Melbourne | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 30 Jun 24 | Hawthorn | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 23 Jun 24 | Essendon | 13 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
Oscar Allen (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oscar Allen is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.0% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
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