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AFL

Noah Balta

Richmond

Value call

Noah Balta (Richmond) has one live pick today: over 0.5 goals that pays $173 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
0.9 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 71.4% · the book's price implies 57.8% · gap +13.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Hawthorn Hawks @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 19 Jul, 1:10 PM AEST
Noah Balta
over 0.5 goals
Goals Over 0.5 -137 (1.73) · $100→$173
Value call
HIGHWins about 71 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.30 Odds-137
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Noah Balta is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 71%, the price says 58%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 23, 12:24AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals71.4%—57.8%1.40+13.6%

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AI Analysis

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Noah Balta (Richmond) Over 0.5 Goals (-137)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Noah Balta, the rising star for the Richmond Tigers, is poised to make a significant impact in the upcoming clash against the Hawthorn Hawks at the iconic MCG. In his last five home games, Balta has been a scoring threat, averaging 1 goal per game. His knack for finding the big sticks is evident with an average of 2.6 shots on goal per game. With a solid hit rate of 4 out of his last 6 home games, he's been a reliable target in front of goal. Against Hawthorn, he has historically performed well, averaging 1 goal per game in their previous encounters. Balta's impressive score involvements and inside 50 entries further solidify his role as a key offensive weapon. Bet on Balta to snag at least one goal in this matchup; the stats paint a picture of a player ready to make his mark on the scoreboard.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Noah Balta averaged 12.3 disposals, 0.6 goals and 5.9 marks per game across 19 games in 2024.

12.3
Disposals
0.6
Goals
5.9
Marks
1.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Noah Balta recorded 11 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS11051
18 Aug 24Hawthorn5230
11 Aug 24St Kilda17081
3 Aug 24North Melbourne7050
28 Jul 24Collingwood9040
20 Jul 24Port Adelaide13090
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS11030
6 Jul 24Fremantle10051
30 Jun 24Carlton8351
15 Jun 24Hawthorn14091
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 10.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Richmond Tigers Goals — — — Pending
12 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Melbourne Demons Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Noah Balta (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Noah Balta is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.6% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Richmond Tigers on Sunday 19 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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