MODELS ONLINE / DATA PROVIDER · NOT A BOOKMAKER / EVERY PICK TIMESTAMPED & GRADED / 12 LEAGUES MODELLED
Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
Log in
AFL

Noah Balta

Richmond

+0.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -250 (1.40)
+0.3% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 4 Jul, 9:35AM
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.7%
Implied Probability
71.4%
Model Edge
+0.3%
Predicted Value
13.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Noah Balta (Richmond) Over 10.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Noah Balta. The big man has been a force to be reckoned with, especially on his home turf at the MCG. Over his last five home games, Balta has been a disposal machine, averaging a hefty 12.6 possessions per outing. With a current hit streak of 6 games at home, he's been a reliable source of ball movement for the Tigers. Adding to Balta's appeal is his recent form against Carlton, where he's been even more prolific, averaging 14 disposals in their last five encounters. With a model prediction of 13.4 disposals for this game, Balta seems poised to continue his strong run. So, when you're eyeing the 'Player Disposals Over/Under' market, backing Balta to go over 10.5 disposals looks like a smart play. His recent numbers and track record against Carlton make a compelling case for him to snag those crucial possessions and help drive the Tigers to victory.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Noah Balta (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Noah Balta is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.3% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Richmond Tigers on Saturday 4 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.