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AFL

Nick Watson

Hawthorn

+0.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -333 (1.30)
+0.2% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne
Fri 19 Sep, 9:40AM
Model Probability
77.1%
Implied Probability
76.9%
Model Edge
+0.2%
Predicted Value
1.1 Goals

AI Analysis

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Nick Watson (Hawthorn) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-333)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Nick Watson is a solid choice to snag a goal in the Geelong Cats vs. Hawthorn Hawks matchup. With a recent average of 1.2 goals in his last five away games and a strong goal accuracy of 51.7%, he's been consistently impacting the scoreboard. Considering his 1-goal average against the upcoming opponent and a higher overall goal accuracy of 70%, the model's prediction of 1.1 goals aligns well with his recent form. His involvement in scoring opportunities, averaging 5.8 score involvements per game, along with an average of 3 shots at goal, indicates he's actively contributing in attack. These stats make Nick Watson a favorable bet to split the middle and score anytime in this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 90.0% (45/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending

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