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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nick Vlastuin is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 87 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 87%, implied 80%, edge +7.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 9:07PM UTC
AFL

Nick Vlastuin

Richmond

+7.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -400 (1.25) · $100→$125
+7.2% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
87 in 100
Predicted
19.2 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 87.2% · the book's price implies 80.0% · gap +7.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals87.2%80.0%1.15+7.2%

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AI Analysis

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Nick Vlastuin (Richmond) Over 13.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable ball-winning on the road, look no further than Nick Vlastuin. The Richmond backman has been a consistent force in recent away clashes, averaging a solid 15.4 disposals in his last five games outside the comfort of home turf. Facing North Melbourne, a team he's historically notched up an average of 15 disposals against, Vlastuin's ability to read the play and intercept should see him comfortably surpass the line of 13.5 disposals set by the bookies. With a knack for finding his teammates with precision (88.3% disposal efficiency) and covering ground effectively (282.4 metres gained per game), Vlastuin is poised to be a pivotal link in Richmond's setup. Backing him to hit the over on disposals is a smart wager for footy punters eyeing a solid return on investment.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Nick Vlastuin averaged 20.1 disposals, 0.0 goals and 6.8 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

20.1
Disposals
0.0
Goals
6.8
Marks
2.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Nick Vlastuin recorded 26 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS26081
18 Aug 24Hawthorn240101
11 Aug 24St Kilda21063
3 Aug 24North Melbourne21062
28 Jul 24Collingwood230120
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS17065
6 Jul 24Fremantle19060
30 Jun 24Carlton21043
15 Jun 24Hawthorn23096
6 Jun 24Adelaide Crows14071
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Nick Vlastuin (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nick Vlastuin is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.2% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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