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Nick Vlastuin

Richmond

+0.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -588 (1.17)
+0.2% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 12 Jul, 9:35AM
Model Probability
85.6%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+0.2%
Predicted Value
19.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Nick Vlastuin (Richmond) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Nick Vlastuin's recent form, especially at home, indicates a strong likelihood of exceeding 14.5 disposals against Essendon. With an average of 17.8 disposals in his last five home games and facing an opponent he historically performs well against, averaging 18.5 disposals in their last five encounters, Vlastuin is poised to maintain his consistency. His solid contested possessions (6.6) and interceptions (7.8) further support his ability to impact the game. Additionally, boasting a high disposal efficiency of 77.9%, Vlastuin is efficient in possession. With his current hit streak of 6 and a perfect hit rate in the last six games, the data suggests he is primed to continue his strong performances, making the Over 14.5 disposals a favorable bet for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Jul 25 Essendon Bombers @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 25 Essendon Bombers @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✗ MISS
12 Jul 25 Essendon Bombers @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 25 Essendon Bombers @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending

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