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AFL

Nick Vlastuin

Richmond

Value call

Nick Vlastuin (Richmond) has one live pick today: over 14.5 disposals that pays $156 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
82 in 100
Predicted
19.2 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 82.5% · the book's price implies 64.1% · gap +18.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 1:10 PM AEST
Nick Vlastuin
over 14.5 disposals
Disposals Over 14.5 -179 (1.56) · $100→$156
Value call
HIGHWins about 82 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.60 Odds-179
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nick Vlastuin is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 82 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 82%, the price says 64%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:01PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals82.5%—64.1%1.21+18.4%

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AI Analysis

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Nick Vlastuin (Richmond) Over 14.5 Disposals (-179)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Nick Vlastuin, the tough and reliable defender for the Richmond Tigers, is set to make waves in the upcoming clash against North Melbourne Kangaroos at Marvel Stadium. Vlastuin has been a consistent force, averaging 15.4 disposals in his last five away games, showcasing his ability to find the footy under pressure. His impressive disposal efficiency of 88.3% only adds to his value as a reliable ball distributor. Facing North Melbourne, a team he's averaged 15 disposals against in his last five matchups, Vlastuin is primed to shine. With his recent form showing an upward trajectory, including strong numbers in contested possessions, intercepts, and kicks, Vlastuin is well-positioned to surpass the 14.5 disposal line set by the bookmakers. His track record of hitting the mark in 9 out of his last 11 away games solidifies the rationale for backing him to exceed expectations once again.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Nick Vlastuin averaged 20.1 disposals, 0.0 goals and 6.8 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

20.1
Disposals
0.0
Goals
6.8
Marks
2.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Nick Vlastuin recorded 26 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS26081
18 Aug 24Hawthorn240101
11 Aug 24St Kilda21063
3 Aug 24North Melbourne21062
28 Jul 24Collingwood230120
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS17065
6 Jul 24Fremantle19060
30 Jun 24Carlton21043
15 Jun 24Hawthorn23096
6 Jun 24Adelaide Crows14071
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 12.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 11.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nick Vlastuin (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nick Vlastuin is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.4% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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