Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
AFL

Nick Haynes

Carlton

Value call

Nick Haynes (Carlton) has one live pick today: over 14.5 disposals that pays $156 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
17.3 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 71.0% · the book's price implies 64.1% · gap +6.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Thu 9 Apr, 7:40 PM AEST
Nick Haynes
over 14.5 disposals
Disposals Over 14.5 -179 (1.56) · $100→$156
Value call
HIGHWins about 71 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.60 Odds-179
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nick Haynes is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 71%, the price says 64%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:04PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.0%—64.1%1.41+6.9%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Nick Haynes (Carlton) Over 14.5 Disposals (-179)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to locking in a solid AFL player prop bet, Nick Haynes stands out as a prime candidate for Over 14.5 disposals against the Adelaide Crows. In his last five away games, Haynes has been a magnet for the footy, averaging a stellar 18.8 disposals per match. His ability to read the play is evident in his 6.8 intercepts per game, showcasing his defensive prowess and knack for disrupting the opposition's forward movements. With a current hit streak of 8 in away games and an impressive 76.0% disposal efficiency, Haynes is in prime form to hit the mark once again. Expect him to roam the field confidently, racking up kicks and handballs to help drive the Carlton Blues to victory.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Nick Haynes averaged 17.1 disposals, 0.0 goals and 6.9 marks per game across 8 games in 2024.

17.1
Disposals
0.0
Goals
6.9
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Western Bulldogs), Nick Haynes recorded 14 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Western Bulldogs14021
16 Jun 24Port Adelaide18080
8 Jun 24Hawthorn14051
25 May 24Geelong Cats20092
18 May 24Western Bulldogs250123
11 May 24Essendon17083
16 Mar 24North Melbourne6020
9 Mar 24Collingwood23091
9 Sep 23St Kilda4020
27 Aug 23Carlton6022
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 14.5 Over -179 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 13.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 12.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Nick Haynes (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nick Haynes is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.9% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Adelaide Crows on Thursday 9 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.